Updates on conference on “Energy & Climate Change”
Updates on conference on “Energy & Climate Change”
To all speakers, reactors, contributors, donors:
Nice to communicate with you again.
While awaiting your response to our invitation as speaker, reactor, contributor/donor, the technical team of this conference organizer has been busy preparing the background materials to both the mini-conference on the Mindanao Power Crisis (proposed venue Xavier University, Cagayan de Oro City) and the main-conference on “Energy & Climate Change” (proposed venue – ADB Pasig City, Ateneo Quezon City or AIM Makati City).
To date, we have accomplished the following:
1) Prepared draft program and list of speakers and topics (awaiting response)
2) Awaiting firm proposal from sponsors who would like to support this two conferences and the preparation of the conference proceedings (a draft budget has been prepared and circulated to ADB, PCCC, awaiting ADB/DOE/PCCC response).
3) Made research on all power generation technologies, brief history, process description, efficiency, overnight capital cost, fixed and variable O&M, economic life – IEPR, Paul Breeze, MTO energy data base, Internet Google search
4) Made financial models for calculating levelized generation cost and levelized selling price (tariff) using simplified formulas (US NREL and RP MTO) and full-scale project finance models for each power generation technology
5) Obtained latest Power Development Plan (PDP 2009-2030), Philippine Energy Plan (PEP 2009-2030) and TRANSCO/NGCP Transmission Development Plan 2009-2018
6) Prepared models for calculating GHG carbon emissions (CO2) and levelized selling price for the entire country given the following scenarios:
a) Oil Demand Outlook – reference case, alternative demand scenario
b) Cumulative Installed Capacity & Power Generation Forecast – reference scenario, low carbon scenario 1 (high renewable energy), low carbon scenario 2 (high renewable energy & nuclear)
To date, we are updating the input data, harmonizing the conversion factors (gross heating value, density, efficiencies, BFOE per kWh, MTOE, etc) so that by giving the oil demand/consumption and the power generation mix (MW and GWh), the model will instantly calculate the resulting average levelized selling price (tariff) for the country and the GHG emission (mt CO2).
The model will also calculate its effectiveness (% reduction in tariff and % reduction in GHG emission) so as to guide the policy maker in refining his development scenario which he wants to analyze.
The model is therefore very intuitive – it gives immediately the climate change impact of the proposed policy and also gives an estimate in the change in power prices.
Alternatively, if we use Input-Output methods, the impact of the policy change that results in a power price disturbance will be also be predicted in advance as to its impact on the GDP and the price of other goods and services.
I hope that with this update, the respective speakers/reactors will confirm their attendance and preferred topics, as well as communicate with me and the technical team for any other data and information that they may need in preparing well for this historic event.
Regards to all,
MARCIAL T. OCAMPO
President, Winning Edge Lending Corporation
Energy Technology Selection & Business Development Consultant
Email: mars_ocampo@yahoo.com
Web: www.energytechnologyexpert.com
http://ph.linkedin.com/in/ocampomarcial
Tags: biomass, carbon emission reduction, climate change, conventional energy, energy, energy & climate change, energy cost, energy tariff, feed-in tariff, GHG emission, hydro, levelized tariff, mini hydro, nuclear energy, ocean thermal energy conversion, OTEC, power generation technology, renewable energy, run-of-river, solar, wind
New Simplified Calculation Procedure for Levelized Cost of Energy (LCOE) and Feed-in Tariff
New Simplified Calculation Procedure for Levelized Cost of Energy (LCOE) and Feed-in Tariff
As part of the on-going technical preparations for the proposed mini-conference on the Mindanao Power Crisis this coming late August or early September 2010 and the main conference on “Energy & Climate Change”, the workshop coordinator, Mr. Marcial T. Ocampo, has prepared the simplified calculation procedure for calculating the levelized cost of energy (LCOE) and levelized selling price (tariff) for conventional and renewable energy resources.
The result of the simplified formulas using the US NREL formula for generation cost and the RP MTO formula for selling price were compared with the results from a full-blown project finance model and the variance between the two methods were minimal in most of the power generation technologies analyzed.
The input data came from the IEPR research summary of 2007 and from internationally published data on power generation technology by noted experts such as Paul Breeze and yours truly, Marcial Ocampo. More »
Tags: advanced nuclear, biogas, biomass, biomass cogeneration, biomass direct combustion, biomass gasification, circulating fluidized bed, clean coal, co-firing with coal, combined cycle gas turbine, concentrating solar, fuel cells, gas thermal, geothermal, geothermal binary, geothermal flashed steam, hydro, landfill gas, large hydro, LCOE, levelized cost of energy, levelized generation cost, levelized selling price, micro hydro, mini hydro, municipal solid waste, nuclear, ocean thermal conversion technology, ocean wave, oil diesel, oil thermal, OTEC, power generation technology, pulverized coal, pumped hydro, sewage digestion, simple gas turbine, small hydro, solar photovoltaic, solar PV, solar thermal, tariff, tidal power, utility wind, wave energy, wind, wind farm
ENERGY & CLIMATE CHANGE: A Complete Review of Power Generation Technologies and Impact on Climate Change
For: ________________________ (name of suggested speaker/presentor, discussant/reactor, contributor/donor, exhibitor, participant)
From: Marcial T. Ocampo
former Executive Director, Philippine Council for Industry & Energy Research & Development (PCIERD)
Department of Science & Technology (DoST)
Republic of the Philippines
Subject: Invitation to Conference on Energy & Climate Change as Speaker/Presentor, Discussant/Reactor, Contributor/Donor, Exhibitor, Participant (top management by invitation)
————————————-
Dear Sir/Madam:
In view of the need to provide stakeholders’ input into the development of a new energy strategy of the incoming administration of President Aquino towards sustainable development, I would like to invite you to solicit your interest and participation on the proposed conference on
ENERGY & CLIMATE CHANGE: A Complete Review of Power Generation Technologies and Impact on Climate Change
Date: tentative September-October 2010
Venue: To be arranged More »
Tags: biogas, biomass cogeneration, biomass direct combustion, biomass gasification, climate change, coal thermal, energy, gas combined cycle GT, gas thermal, geothermal, landfill methane, large hydro, low carbon economy, mini hydro, MSW to power, nuclear power, oil combined cycle GT, oil diesel, oil thermal, OTEC, power generation technologies, pumped hydro, solar PV, Sustainable Development, waste to energy, wind and ocean thermal energy conversion
The Noynoy Aquino Presidency – Its Character and Overall Plan
The Noynoy Aquino Presidency – Its Character and Overall Plan
(This report is in power point format. It is supported by an excel file complete with energy data and government economic statistics. Printed copies of this discussion paper were sent to President-Elect Noynoy Aquino and Sec. Butch Abad about a month ago during the canvass of the presidential and national elections held last May 2010. It is my fervent wish that the problem identification, analysis, findings & conclusions, alternative solutions and recommendations will be looked into by the new cabinet and President Noynoy so that an intelligent discussion may be held in this proposed conference on Energy & Climate Change to be held at the ADB this end of July 2010 would be meaningful and an action plan would be drawn up by the participants for transmittal and endorsement to the new administration of President Noynoy Aquino. A program schedule is being prepared together with the topics and suggested speakers. Interested speakers and participants may email me for an advanced copy of the proposed program. Cheers. Marcial Ocampo)
Expectations
- •Your Presidency for the next 6 years is a new dawn and a great beginning in our country’s journey of change – seize the moment
- •You need to understand the problems facing the country – climate change, energy and food security, and pricing
- •You need to implement doable programs and lay down framework for continuity beyond your term – deliverables
- •You need to present your action plans and implement them – with full transparency
- •You will save the country from a “Greek Tragedy” – when you promote predictable revenues, reduce tax leakages and utilize resources efficiently (reduce corruption) to deliver your promises (food, education, health, security, infrastructure) More »
Municipal Solid Waste (MSW) to Power Project
Municipal Solid Waste (MSW) to Power Project
This is a power point presentation with a project finance model for calculating feed-in tariff (FiT).
The FiT is a renewable energy charge paid to renewable energy (RE) developers for providing power to the grid. It is paid for by the Transco operator who collects a renewable energy charge (REC) from all consumers of electricity in the country. By being spread out to all consumers, the burden of a higher FiT compared to the average grid rate is shared equally by all citizens and consumers alike since they will benefit from the positive impact of RE on global warming and climate change issues.
