Integrating energy resource assessment to project finance modeling : the key to fast turn-around in analyzing renewable energy potential and its economic viability

September 10th, 2010 No Comments   Posted in energy technology expert

Integrating energy resource assessment to project finance modeling : the key to fast turn-around in analyzing renewable energy potential and its economic viability

I am now in Jakarta, Indonesia as international technical consultant of a wind-diesel hybrid power generation project of an international development agency.  My consultancy is pioneering work that is applicable especially to poor and developing economies that has very little access to integrated consulting services that are appropriate to developing economies in Asia, Africa, Middle East and Latin America.

Doing a renewable energy (RE) resource assessment of an intermittent source such as solar PV and wind and sometimes biomass, biogas, landfill methane gas, municipal solid waste (MSW) is indeed a backbreaking exercise even for an experienced consultant.

This difficulty is now a thing of the past because your Energy Technology Selection Expert (Marcial) has automated and computerized in an easy-to-use and accurate spreadsheet the evaluation of wind energy potential (which could be applied also to solar PV) that is found in wind speed data from space satellite doppler data measurements.

In a minute or two, a wind site using a wind turbine model (power curve) could be evaluated in terms of its kW output, leading to annual generation potential.  Thus a wind site with many turbine models could be optimized in less than 30 minutes. More »

How to make US Pres. Barak Obama’s plan succeed in getting out of the Recession

September 10th, 2010 3 Comments   Posted in global financial meltdown

How to make US Pres. Barak Obama’s plan succeed in getting out of the Recession

A clear analysis of the root cause of the US recession that led to a global financial meltdown will help US Pres. Barak Obam in formulating an integrated plan that will bring back US consumer confidence leading to long-term rise in sustainable consumer spending and economic growth in the US economy and the rest of the world.

The US must use its stimulus funding wisely to create a new sustainable economic model based on activities that are energy efficient, renewable-energy based, low carbon foot-print, technology-based and climate change-sensitive that its impact on US consumers will be long-term confidence in the future in terms of flexible job security thru a good balance between domestic savings and consumer spending.

Oil Crisis, US Recession and Global Financial Meltdown

As early as 2007, signs of economic recession have been observed throughout the world.  By end December 2007, the international price of crude oil went past $100 per barrel.  Continued speculation in the world markets as well as increased demand pushed the price to its maximum of $147 per barrel by July 2008. More »

Avoiding Widespread Flooding Thru Predictive Dam Water Release Modeling – Recent Nigeria, Pakistan and Philippine flooding

September 5th, 2010 1 Comment   Posted in energy & climate change

Avoiding Widespread Flooding Thru Predictive Dam Water Release Modeling – Recent Nigeria, Pakistan and Philippine flooding

The very recent Nigeria flooding that affected over  2 million people and the continuing widespread misery due to flooding in Pakistan is a portent warning of serious effects of global warming and unabated release of Green House Gas (GHG) emissions of CO2 and other similar gases such as methane (21 times of equivalent CO2).

This increasing severity of weather changes from widespread flooding to severe drought has indeed impacted on the daily lives of peoples, especially the poor whose makeshift houses along dangerous and hazardous terrain and communities are subject to more frequent dislocations and damage to property as well as loss of lives, which is magnified by the lack of adequate planning (such as doing predictive dam water release simulation), preparations (pre-positioning of emergency safety and rescue equipment), and lack of maintenance of flood control infrastructures such as dams, dikes, levies and embankment supports that separates the flood plains from low-lying communities.

Indeed, the lack of foresight (pre-emptive release of dam water) to avoid catastrophic release later at the height of a storm as what happened in the Pangasinan-Agno River system in the Philippines and the continuing saga in Pakistan is just another grim reminder of the need to use advanced computing technology (dam simulation logic and a Excel spreadsheet) to avoid the tragic consequences of damaged levees, embankments as a result of high releases of impounded water. More »

Evaluating Renewable Energy Potential and Project Economics Made Easy

September 5th, 2010 No Comments   Posted in feed-in tariff

Evaluating Renewable Energy Potential and Project Economics Made Easy

Your energy technology selection expert wishes to announce the latest release of renewable energy (RE) project finance and energy resource evaluation tools, specifically for evaluating the performance of RE hybrid combinations such as minihydro-diesel, solar PV-diesel, wind-diesel PV and biomass gasification-diesel generation for off-grid as well as on-grid systems.  The model will calculate the RE resource potential, predict the annual generation, and then calculate annual average capacity factors.

For off-grid, the model evaluates also the optimum fossil fuel back-up support so that the RE (minihydro, solar, wind, biomass) hybrid system will provide 24/7 hours of affordable and reliable electricity service.

Don’t waste your time evaluating the RE potential using obsolete and un-integrated software that are site and technology specific.  In just a few minutes and few hours, you could run a series of wind site evaluations which compares the wind power levelized selling price (tariff) to your country’s diesel power generation cost or feed-in tariff.

It’s now the right time to change to the fully-integrated multi-site RE hybrid evaluation tools. More »