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Summary of inputs and results for project finance models for various power generation technologies – up to Sep 30, 2014 only

September 14th, 2014 Posted in cost of power generation

Summary of inputs and results for project finance models for various power generation technologies – up to Sep 30, 2014 only

Dear Friends,

You only have up to September 30, 2014 to purchase the advanced project finance models for conventional, fossil, nuclear and renewable energy power generation technologies.

Beginning Oct 1, 2014, I will be working full-time with a major IPP in the country and I will take a leave in providing project finance models and Feasibility Study and Market Study preparations for a while.

So don’t dilly dally. Order now before I shut down this website for selling such models.

Cheers,

Energy Technology Selection Expert

I hope you had a wonderful time looking over the power generation technology summary that posted earlier.

I am providing below the summary to incorporate updates on the nuclear uranium PHWR technology:

GJ/kg    fuel $/kg    fab. $/kg    total $/kg    kWh/kg     Efficiency
3,900     365              400               765                 360,000    33.23%

I also updated the coal CFB and PC subcritical, supercritical and ultrasupercritical technologies.

I revised the structure of the models to allow 48 months of construction and 30 years of operation for coal, nuclear and ocean thermal technologies; the rest are 36 months of construction and 30 years of operation.

Since the models originate from one template, it would be most helpful in comparing alternative technologies, OEM or EPC supplier, capacity, efficiency or heat rate, construction lead time, operating period or economic life, overhaul schedule and capacity & heat rate degradation, fuel cost, and gov’t taxes and imposts.

Please refer also to attached price list of all my models and tool kits for energy and power applications.

TECHNOLOGY US$
Cost of Power Generation Technologies.xls $258
Levelized cost of electricity.xls $306
Latest Feed-in-Tariff Rates for Renewable Energy Technologies.doc $94
Wind Turbine Price List.xls $1,210
Power Plant Emission Data and Model:  
Solid Fuel, Liquid Fuel, Gaseous Fuel Properties $450
Power Plant Emission Calculation Model by mass.xls $752
Power Plant Emission Calculation Model by concentration.xls $900
CDM Feed-in-Tariff Models for Renewable Energy  
CDM Biomass Cogeneration Model.xls $1,800
CDM Biomass Direct Combustion Model.xls $1,800
CDM Biomass Gasification Model.xls $1,800
CDM Mini-Hydro Model.xls $1,800
CDM Ocean Thermal Model_10 MW.xls $1,800
CDM Ocean Thermal Model_50 MW.xls $1,800
CDM Solar PV Model.xls $1,800
CDM Wind Model.xls $1,800
ADVANCED Feed-in-Tariff Models for Renewable Energy  
ADV Biomass Cogeneration Model.xls $1,200
ADV Biomass Direct Combustion Model.xls $1,200
ADV Biomass Gasification Model.xls $1,200
ADV Mini-Hydro Model.xls $1,200
ADV Ocean Thermal Model_10 MW.xls $1,200
ADV Ocean Thermal Model_50 MW.xls $1,200
ADV Solar PV Model.xls $1,200
ADV Wind Model.xls $1,200
ADV Solar PV-Diesel Hybrid Model.xls $2,000
ADV Wind-Diesel Hybrid Model.xls $2,000
MTO Feed-in-Tariff Models for Renewable Energy  
MTO Fit_biomass cogeneration.xls $600
MTO Fit_biomass direct combustion.xls $600
MTO Fit_biomass gasification.xls $600
MTO Fit_Mini Hydro.xls $600
MTO Fit_ocean thermal_10 MW.xls $600
MTO Fit_ocean thermal_50 MW.xls $600
MTO Fit_solar PV.xls $600
MTO Fit_wind.xls $600
Simplified Feed-in-Tariff Models for Renewable Energy (Student Edition)  
Simplified Fit_biomass anaerobic digestion.xls $300
Simplified Fit_biomass cogeneration.xls $300
Simplified Fit_biomass gasification.xls $300
Simplified Fit_biomass direct combustion.xls $300
Simplified Fit_Mini Hydro.xls $300
Simplified Fit_ocean thermal_10 MW.xls $300
Simplified Fit_ocean thermal_50 MW.xls $300
Simplified Fit_solar PV.xls $300
Simplified Fit_wind.xls $300
Renewable Energy Resource Assessment Model  
Wind Energy Resource Assessment Tool_Anemometer Measurement $1,000
Wind Energy Resource Assessment Tool_3TIER Prediction $1,000
MTO Project Finance Models:  
proj_diesel genset power plant model.xls $300
proj_hybrid power plant model (diesel, biomass, mini-hydro, solar, wind).xls $1,300
proj_oil thermal power plant model.xls $1,000
proj_coal thermal power plant model (pulverized, CFB, IGCC).xls $2,000
proj_geothermal power plant model.xls $2,000
proj_simple cycle GT plant model.xls $1,500
proj_combined cycle GT plant model.xls $2,000
proj_nuclear power plant model.xls $3,000
LP Models for Optimal Load Dispatch  
Optimal Load Dispatch_Luzon_1.xls $1,558
Optimal Load Dispatch_Mindanao_1.xls $1,466
Optimal Load Dispatch_Visayas_1.xls $1,480
LP Model for Trigeneration.xls $1,306

Dear Friends,

I am happy to share with you the results of my continuing technical & research work on energy and power plant project finance modeling of various power generation technologies such as conventional, fossil, nuclear and renewable energy (biomass, WTE, mini-hydro, solar PV, wind and ocean thermal energy conversion or OTEC).

 Please refer to the attached summary and please let me know if you would be interested in securing a full-license to use the various models listed in the summary.

 The models are calibrated using US EIA, IEA and Paul Breeze and other internet sources of information to arrive at installed capacity, capacity factor, overnight $/kW capital cost (all-in cost), $/kW/year fixed O&M, $/MWh variable O&M, regulatory costs, fuel cost in native units, GHV of fuel, fuel-to-electricity conversion efficiency (thermal efficiency) or plant heat rate, construction period, economic life, cost of capital (% equity and IRR, % debt and loan interest), etc.

 Since these are best-practice or latest information, it would be helpful in benchmarking local power plants and its performance so that an economic and financial decision is made to retire, refurbish, or construct a new power plant to provide adequate capacity to meet increasing future demand and replace old plants.

 Hope to hear from you soon as to your interest in my complete line of project finance models.

 If you are interested, please order via email at:

energydataexpert@gmail.com

so I could provide you with my PayPal and bank/wire transfer details.

Once I received confirmation of payment, I will then email you the requested/ordered models.

Here is the sample summary:

Summary of Inputs and Results at 16.0% p.a. Equity IRR ( 30% equity and 70% debt )
Comparative Cost of Electricity (PhP/kWh): CP, months OP, years MW Net CF, % EPC, $/kW All in, $/kW $/kW/yr $/MWh TE, % HR, Btu/kWh FR, kWh/MT Fuel Cost & Units PhP/kWh Tariff
Biomass Gasification (27.09%, 4,000 Btu/lb) – 6.63 FIT 24 20 28.500 83.00% $2,628 $4,114 105.63 5.26 27.09% 12,598 700 1,297 PhP/MT 1.853 6.853
Biomass Cogeneration (26.00%, 4000 Btu/lb) – 6.63 FIT 24 20 34.000 83.00% $2,686 $4,114 105.63 5.26 26.00% 13,124 672 1,297 PhP/MT 1.930 7.000
Biomass Direct Combustion (28.00%, 4000 Btu/lb) – 6.63 FIT 24 20 8.300 83.00% $2,614 $4,114 105.63 5.26 28.00% 12,186 724 1,297 PhP/MT 1.792 6.817
Biomass IGCC (26.00%, 4000 Btu/lb) – 6.63 FIT 24 20 20.000 83.00% $2,670 $4,114 105.63 5.26 26.00% 13,124 672 1,297 PhP/MT 1.930 6.994
Biomass WTE (18.96%, 4000 Btu/lb) – 6.63 FIT 24 20 50.000 83.00% $5,428 $8,312 392.82 8.75 18.96% 17,996 490 1,297 PhP/MT 2.647 13.514
CFB Coal 50 mw (34.76%, 10,000 Btu/lb) 36 25 50.000 85.00% $1,846 $2,934 31.18 4.47 34.76% 9,816 2,246 3,740 PhP/MT 1.665 5.323
CFB Coal 135 mw (41.18%, 10,000 Btu/lb) 36 25 135.000 85.00% $2,134 $3,374 35.86 5.14 38.77% 8,800 2,505 3,740 PhP/MT 1.493 5.238
PC Coal 400 mw – subcritical (44.45%, 10,000 Btu/lb) 36 30 400.000 85.00% $2,068 $3,246 37.80 4.47 44.45% 7,677 2,872 3,740 PhP/MT 1.302 5.195
PC Coal 500 mw – supercritical (47.79%, 10,000 Btu/lb) 36 30 500.000 85.00% $2,068 $3,246 37.80 4.47 47.79% 7,139 3,088 3,740 PhP/MT 1.211 5.058
PC Coal 650 mw – ultrasupercritical (51.22%, 10,000 Btu/lb) 36 30 650.000 85.00% $2,068 $3,246 37.80 4.47 51.22% 6,662 3,309 3,740 PhP/MT 1.130 4.935
Diesel Oil Genset (32.00%, 19,200 Btu/lb) 24 20 50.000 40.00% $709 $1,100 4.00 30.00 32.00% 10,663 3,970 54,438 PhP/MT 13.713 23.194
Fuel Oil Genset (36.00%, 18,300 Btu/lb) 24 20 225.000 50.00% $853 $1,300 6.00 50.00 36.00% 9,478 4,257 36,066 PhP/MT 8.473 17.011
Fuel Oil Thermal (38.00%, 18,300 Btu/lb) 36 20 200.000 75.00% $991 $1,561 30.26 2.30 38.00% 8,979 4,493 36,066 PhP/MT 8.027 13.110
Geothermal (28.00%, 1,104 Btu/lb) 36 25 100.000 92.00% $3,973 $6,243 132.00 1.00 28.00% 12,186 200 562 PhP/MT 2.814 8.962
Large Hydro 36 30 500.000 52.00% $2,128 $2,936 14.13 1.00             3.618
Mini Hydro – 5.90 FIT 24 20 6.000 43.33% $2,199 $3,523 16.96 1.20             5.761
Solar PV Farm (1 mw) – 9.68 FIT (Chinese) 12 20 1.056 20.83% $1,842 $2,614 18.50 1.50             9.416
Solar PV Farm (25 mw) – 9.68 FIT 12 20 25.000 25.00% $2,122 $2,789 18.50 1.30             8.497
Wind Farm Onshore – 8.53 FIT 24 25 30.000 34.00% $1,627 $2,213 39.55 1.00             5.119
Wind Farm Offshore – 8.53 FIT 24 25 200.000 37.00% $4,761 $6,230 74.00 2.00             13.320
Ocean Thermal (10 mw) 48 30 16.000 60.00% $10,000 $14,170 85.02 5.58             19.193
Ocean Thermal (50 mw) 48 30 80.000 60.00% $8,000 $11,194 33.58 2.13             14.544
Nuclear Uranium PHWR (33.23%, 3,900 GJ/kg) 48 30 1,330.000 90.00% $2,275 $3,687 93.28 2.14 33.23% 10,268 360,000,000 33,660,000 PhP/MT 0.094 3.834
Natgas Thermal (45.00%, 22,129 Btu/lb) 36 25 200.000 60.00% $634 $1,000 30.00 5.00 38.00% 8,979 5,433 18,521 PhP/MT 3.409 6.510
Natgas Simple Cycle (38.00%, 22,129 Btu/lb) 36 25 70.000 30.00% $609 $973 7.34 15.45 31.45% 10,849 4,497 18,521 PhP/MT 4.119 8.918
Natgas Combined Cycle (53.07%, 22,129 Btu/lb) 36 25 500.000 87.00% $583 $917 13.17 3.60 53.07% 6,429 7,588 18,521 PhP/MT 2.441 4.186
CP – Construction period, months
OP – Operating period (Economic life), years
MW – Mega Watts installed capacity
Net CF – Net Capacity Factor (after plant own use and losses), % of installed capacity
EPC – Engineering Procurement Construction cost per kW
All in – All in Cost per kW (EPC + Owners Cost + Working Capital + Financing Cost)
$/kW/yr – Fixed O&M
$/MWh – Variable O&M (excluding fuel)
TE – Thermal Efficiency, % of GHV (Gross Heating Value)
HR – Heat Rate, Btu (GHV) / kWh (Gross Generation)
FR – Fuel Rate, kWh (Gross Generation) / MT
Fuel Cost in native units
PhP/kWh – Fuel Cost in PhP/kWh (from fuel cost in native units and Heat Rate)
Tariff – First Year Tariff, PhP/kWh (selling price needed to meet minimum equity IRR)
  Fuel Properties and Gross Heating Value
Comparative Cost of Electricity (PhP/kWh): Gross Heating Value   Fuel Cost, in US$   Fuel Cost, in PhP   Density, Factor Fuel Technology
Biomass Gasification (27.09%, 4,000 Btu/lb) – 6.63 FIT 4,000 Btu/lb     1.297 PhP/kg 1000 kg/MT Biomass Gasification
Biomass Cogeneration (26.00%, 4000 Btu/lb) – 6.63 FIT 4,000 Btu/lb     1.297 PhP/kg 1000 kg/MT Biomass Cogeneration
Biomass Direct Combustion (28.00%, 4000 Btu/lb) – 6.63 FIT 4,000 Btu/lb     1.297 PhP/kg 1000 kg/MT Biomass Direct Combustion
Biomass IGCC (26.00%, 4000 Btu/lb) – 6.63 FIT 4,000 Btu/lb     1.297 PhP/kg 1000 kg/MT Biomass IGCC
Biomass WTE (18.96%, 4000 Btu/lb) – 6.63 FIT 4,000 Btu/lb     1.297 PhP/kg 1000 kg/MT Biomass WTE
CFB Coal 50 mw (34.76%, 10,000 Btu/lb) 10,000 Btu/lb 85.00 $/MT 3.740 PhP/kg 1000 kg/MT Coal CFB 50 mw
CFB Coal 135 mw (41.18%, 10,000 Btu/lb) 10,000 Btu/lb 85.00 $/MT 3.740 PhP/kg 1000 kg/MT Coal Coal CFB 135 mw
PC Coal 400 mw – subcritical (44.45%, 10,000 Btu/lb) 10,000 Btu/lb 85.00 $/MT 3.740 PhP/kg 1000 kg/MT Coal PC subcritical
PC Coal 500 mw – supercritical (47.79%, 10,000 Btu/lb) 10,000 Btu/lb 85.00 $/MT 3.740 PhP/kg 1000 kg/MT Coal PC supercritical
PC Coal 650 mw – ultrasupercritical (51.22%, 10,000 Btu/lb) 10,000 Btu/lb 85.00 $/MT 3.740 PhP/kg 1000 kg/MT Coal PC ultrasupercritical
Diesel Oil Genset (32.00%, 19,200 Btu/lb) 19,200 Btu/lb     46.000 PhP/L 0.845 kg/L Diesel Diesel Oil Genset
Fuel Oil Genset (36.00%, 18,300 Btu/lb) 18,300 Btu/lb     34.840 PhP/L 0.966 kg/L Bunker Fuel Oil Genset
Fuel Oil Thermal (38.00%, 18,300 Btu/lb) 18,300 Btu/lb     34.840 PhP/L 0.966 kg/L Bunker Fuel Oil Thermal
Geothermal (28.00%, 1,104 Btu/lb) 1,104 Btu/lb     5.248 $/GJ 5.537 $/mmBtu Geothermal Dual Flash
Large Hydro                 Water Large Hydro
Mini Hydro – 5.90 FIT                 Water Mini-hydro
Solar PV Farm (1 mw) – 9.68 FIT (Chinese)                 Solar Solar PV 1 mw
Solar PV Farm (25 mw) – 9.68 FIT                 Solar Solar PV 25 mw
Wind Farm Onshore – 8.53 FIT                 Wind Onshore Wind 30 mw
Wind Farm Offshore – 8.53 FIT                 Wind Offshore Wind 200 mw
Ocean Thermal (10 mw)                 Ocean OTEC 10 mw
Ocean Thermal (50 mw)                 Ocean OTEC 50 mw
Nuclear Uranium PHWR (33.23%, 3,900 GJ/kg) 1,676,708,808 Btu/lb 765000.00 $/MT 33660.000 PhP/kg 1000 kg/MT Uranium Nuclear PHWR
Natgas Thermal (45.00%, 22,129 Btu/lb) 22,129 Btu/lb     8.628 $/GJ 9.103 $/mmBtu Natgas Gas Thermal
Natgas Simple Cycle (38.00%, 22,129 Btu/lb) 22,129 Btu/lb     8.628 $/GJ 9.103 $/mmBtu Natgas Simple Cycle GT
Natgas Combined Cycle (53.07%, 22,129 Btu/lb) 22,129 Btu/lb     8.628 $/GJ 9.103 $/mmBtu Natgas Combined Cycle GT

 

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