Hybrid Diesel Power Plant Feed-In Tariff, Levelized Cost and Financial Model
Hybrid Diesel Power Plant Feed-In Tariff, Levelized Cost and Financial Model
The following is a snippet of my state-of-the-art project finance model for calculating feed-in tariff, levelized cost of energy, and financial model (generation, fuel requirement, income statement, cash flow statement, balance sheet and financial ratios). To secure a copy of the spreadsheet, click the ENERGY DATA page for arrangements.
| PROJECT FINANCE MODEL | Name | DIESEL POWER PLANT | ||||
| TEMPLATE FOR FEED-IN TARIFF (BIOMASS, BIOGAS, LANDFILL GAS, SOLAR, WIND, MINI-HYDRO) | (C) Copyright 2009 by Marcial T. Ocampo (November 2009) | |||||
| INSTRUCTIONS | ||||||
| (This example is in PhP Thousand, except for the unit prices which are in PhP/kWh) | ||||||
| Year 0 reflects the starting assumptions, which will be applicable starting in year 1. |
8.0333 |
NPV |
IRR |
Payback |
||
| Blue cells must be filled out by the user. |
NPV-ROI |
0 |
(723,671) |
2.15% |
16.21 |
|
| Escalate fuel, lubes, tariff and O&M costs? (1=yes, 0=no) |
0 |
NPV-ROE |
1 |
0 |
15.00% |
8.54 |
| CALCULATION OF GROSS OPERATING MARGIN |
NPV-FC |
0 |
(58,095) |
12.29% |
9.34 |
|
|
NPV-FC discounted |
0 |
(103,409) |
9.62% |
10.11 |
||
| Year |
|
used |
0.00 |
2009 |
2010 |
2011 |
| Days Per Year |
|
|
|
365 |
365 |
365 |
| Hours Per Day |
24 |
|
|
24 |
24 |
24 |
| Plant Operation |
365 |
Year |
0 |
1 |
2 |
|
| Overhaul Cycle |
0 |
1 |
2 |
|||
| Capacity Degradation | ||||||
| Normal, % p.a. |
2.00% |
1.0000 |
1.0200 |
1.0404 |
||
| Overhaul, % p.a. |
-6.00% |
2.00% |
2.00% |
|||
| Overhaul Cycle, yr |
5 |
|||||
| Recovery, % |
60.00% |
0.005 |
0.040 |
|||
| Select Manufacturer/Engine Model: |
MW |
Heat Rate, kJ / kWh |
Efficiency, % |
Cost, $/kW |
Variable O&M |
Fixed O&M |
| Diesel 1 |
18.600 |
9448 |
38.10% |
1300 |
0.005 |
0.040 |
| Diesel 2 |
18.600 |
9448 |
38.10% |
1300 |
0.005 |
0.040 |
| Diesel 3 |
18.600 |
9448 |
38.10% |
1300 |
0.005 |
0.040 |
| Diesel 4 |
18.600 |
9448 |
38.10% |
1300 |
0.005 |
0.040 |
| Diesel 5 |
18.600 |
9448 |
38.10% |
1300 |
0.005 |
0.040 |
| Diesel 6 |
18.600 |
9448 |
38.10% |
1300 |
0.005 |
0.040 |
| Plant Rated Capacity, MW |
18.600 |
9,448 |
38.10% |
1,300.00 |
18.600 |
18.600 |
| Dependable Capacity, MW |
18.235 |
17.878 |
||||
| Plant Availability | ||||||
| Calendar Days |
365.25 |
365 |
365 |
|||
| Total Period Hours |
24 |
8760 |
8760 |
|||
| Planned Overhaul, days (3 wks) |
21 |
|
|
|||
| Regular Maintenance, days (1 wks) |
7 |
7 |
7 |
|||
| Economic S/D, % of CD |
0.30% |
1.10 |
1.10 |
|||
| Deactivated S/D – External, % of CD |
0.50% |
1.83 |
1.83 |
|||
| Total Unforced Outage, days |
9.92 |
9.92 |
||||
| Forced Outage – Internal, % of CD |
7.00% |
25.55 |
25.55 |
|||
| Total Outage, days |
38.29 |
35.47 |
35.47 |
|||
| Total Operating Hours |
7,847 |
7,909 |
7,909 |
|||
| Plant Statistics | ||||||
| Outage Rate = FO*24/ (FO*24+TOH) |
7.25% |
7.20% |
7.20% |
|||
| Availability = TOH/PH |
89.52% |
90.28% |
90.28% |
|||
| Equivalent Availability | ||||||
|
89.23% |
87.48% |
|||||
| Reliability = 1-OR |
92.75% |
92.80% |
92.80% |
|||
| Generation and Capacity Factor | ||||||
| Load Factor, % of DC |
90.00% |
90.00% |
90.00% |
|||
| Potential Generation = DC*LF*TOH | MWh |
129,796 |
127,251 |
|||
| Rated Generation = RC*PH | MWh |
162,936 |
162,936 |
|||
| Capacity Factor = PG / RG |
72.57% |
79.66% |
78.10% |
|||
| Plant Heat Rate (liquid fuels only) |
1=Cogen |
2=Diesel Engine |
3=Oil Thermal |
2 |
||
| Diesel Engine (1 / 3) |
33.33% |
40.00% |
||||
| Steam Boiler (2 / 3) |
66.67% |
|||||
| Boiler Efficiency at 1% cont. BD |
90.00% |
90.00% |
||||
| Steam Turbine Efficiency |
40.00% |
37.00% |
||||
| Mechanical Drive / Clutch Efficiency |
99.00% |
99.00% |
99.00% |
|||
| Generator Efficiency |
96.00% |
96.00% |
96.00% |
|||
| Overall Efficiency=(GT+ST*BE*STE)*ME*GE |
54.49% |
38.02% |
31.65% |
|||
| Plant Heat Rate at 100% eff. |
3412.12822 |
|
|
|||
| Plant Heat Rate, Btu / kWh = 3412/ OE |
6,262 |
8,976 |
10,781 |
8,976 |
8,976 |
|
| Heat Rate (Efficiency) Degradation |
|
|||||
| Normal, % p.a. |
2.00% |
|
1.0000 |
1.0200 |
1.0404 |
|
| Overhaul, % p.a. |
-6.00% |
2.00% |
2.00% |
|||
| Overhaul Cycle, yr |
5 |
|||||
| Recovery, % |
60.00% |
|||||
| Actual Plant Heat Rate, Btu/kWh |
|
9,155 |
9,338 |
|||
| Actual Overall Efficiency, % of fuel GHV |
37.27% |
36.54% |
||||
| Net Electricity Sales, MWh | ||||||
| Potential Generation |
129,796 |
127,251 |
||||
| Step-up Transformer Loss (Switchyard), MWh |
1.00% |
1.00% |
1.00% |
|||
| Generation at Plant Fence |
128,498 |
125,979 |
||||
| Transmission Line Losses, MWh |
2.00% |
2.00% |
2.00% |
|||
| Net Electricity Sales to Customer |
125,928 |
123,459 |
||||
| Other Losses (non-technical, pilferage), MWh |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
|||
| Electricity sales to the network (MWh) |
125,928 |
123,459 |
||||
| Annual increase of the volume, % p.a. |
0.0% |
-2.0% |
||||
| Fuel Consumption | ||||||
| Gross Generation (Potential Generation), MWh |
129,796 |
127,251 |
||||
| Plant Heat Rate, Btu/kWh |
9,155 |
9,338 |
||||
| Total Energy Input to be supplied by fuel, Million Btu |
1,188,285 |
1,188,285 |
||||
| Energy Supplied by each fuel: |
GHV, Btu/lb |
NHV, Btu/lb |
GHV / NHV |
|||
| Natural Gas (Malampaya Gas) – main fuel |
22,129 |
20,249 |
1.093 |
59,414 |
59,414 |
|
| Diesel Oil |
19,650 |
18,453 |
1.065 |
118,828 |
118,828 |
|
| Low Sulfur Fuel Oil (LSFO – 1% S) |
18,400 |
17,449 |
1.055 |
950,628 |
950,628 |
|
| Bunker Fuel Oil (BFO – 3% S) |
19,670 |
18,565 |
1.060 |
59,414 |
59,414 |
|
| Fuel Consumption, Million Liters: |
kg / Liter |
GHV, Btu/Liter |
|
|||
| Natural Gas (Malampaya Gas) – main fuel |
1.05506 |
kJ / Btu |
GJ (Million kJ) |
62,686 |
62,686 |
|
| Diesel Oil |
0.8448 |
36,597 |
Million Liters |
3.247 |
3.247 |
|
| Low Sulfur Fuel Oil (LSFO – 1% S) |
0.9659 |
39,181 |
Million Liters |
24.262 |
24.262 |
|
| Bunker Fuel Oil (BFO – 3% S) |
0.8916 |
38,664 |
Million Liters |
1.537 |
1.537 |
|
| Total Million Liters |
|
|
29.046 |
29.046 |
||
| Specific Fuel Consumption, Liters / kWh |
|
|
0.224 |
0.228 |
||
| Fuel Cost, Million PhP: |
PhP/Liter 2009 |
Escalation |
$ / Million Btu |
|||
| Natural Gas (Malampaya Gas) – main fuel, 8.628 $/GJ |
418.11 |
0.00% |
PhP / GJ |
9.10 |
26.210 |
26.210 |
| Diesel Oil |
30.00 |
0.00% |
PhP / Liter |
16.92 |
97.408 |
97.408 |
| Low Sulfur Fuel Oil (LSFO – 1% S) |
23.24 |
0.00% |
PhP / Liter |
12.24 |
563.768 |
563.768 |
| Bunker Fuel Oil (BFO – 3% S) |
22.51 |
0.00% |
PhP / Liter |
12.01 |
34.585 |
34.585 |
| Total Fuel Cost, Million PhP |
|
|
695.761 |
695.761 |
||
| Average fuel cost, PhP/Liter |
23.95 |
|
23.954 |
23.954 |
||
| Average fuel cost escalation, % p.a. |
|
0.00% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
||
| Lube Oil Consumption | ||||||
| Normal, % p.a. |
2.00% |
|
1.0000 |
1.0200 |
1.0404 |
|
| Overhaul, % p.a. |
-6.00% |
2.00% |
2.00% |
|||
| Overhaul Cycle, yr |
5 |
|||||
| Recovery, % |
60.00% |
|||||
| Ideal Lube Oil Consumption, g/kWh |
0.254 |
0.254 |
0.254 |
|||
| Actual Lube Oil Consumption, g/kWh |
0.259 |
0.264 |
||||
| Lube Oil Consumption, Million Liters |
0.8500 |
kg/Liter |
0.039 |
0.039 |
||
| Lube Oil Cost, Million PhP |
149.87 |
0.00% |
5.917 |
5.917 |
||
| Average lube oil cost, PhP/Liter |
|
149.871 |
149.871 |
|||
| Average lube oil escalation, % p.a. |
|
0.00% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
||
| A) Operating income: ’000 PhP |
365 |
Year |
0 |
1 |
2 |
|
| Electric tariff for sales to the network (PhP/kWh) |
8.0333 |
8.0333 |
8.0333 |
|||
| Annual increase of the tariff, % p.a. |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
|||
| Income from sales to DU, ’000 PhP |
708,132 |
694,247 |
||||
| Electricity sales to DU, MWh |
70.00% |
of sales |
88,150 |
86,421 |
||
| Electricity tariff to DU, PhP/kWh |
100.00% |
8.0333 |
discount tariff |
8.0333 |
8.0333 |
|
| Income from sales to NPC, ’000 PhP |
202,323 |
198,356 |
||||
| Electricity sales to NPC, MWh |
20.00% |
of sales |
25,186 |
24,692 |
||
| Electricity tariff to NPC, PhP/kWh |
100.00% |
8.0333 |
reference tariff |
8.0333 |
8.0333 |
|
| Income from sales to WESM, ’000 PhP |
101,162 |
99,178 |
||||
| Electricity sales to WESM, MWh |
10.00% |
of sales |
12,593 |
12,346 |
||
| Electricity tariff to WESM, PhP/kWh |
100.00% |
8.0333 |
WESM tariff |
8.0333 |
8.0333 |
|
| TOTAL OPERATING INCOME |
1,011,617 |
991,781 |
||||
| Annual increase in Operating Income |
0.0% |
-2.0% |
||||
| Total electricity sales to DU, NPC, and WESM, MWh |
125,928 |
123,459 |
||||
| Average Electricity Tariff, PhP/kWh |
8.0333 |
8.0333 |
||||
| Annual increase in Electricity Tariff |
0.00% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
|||
| B) Expenses: ’000 PhP |
Year |
0 |
1 |
2 |
||
| Consumption of natural gas fuel, ’000 GJ |
63 |
63 |
||||
| Annual increase of the volume |
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
||
| Price of natural gas fuel (PhP/GJ) |
|
418.113 |
418.113 |
|||
| Annual increase of the price |
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
|
| Total Natural Gas Fuel Cost |
|
|
26,210 |
26,210 |
||
| Consumption volume of fuel, ’000 liters |
29,046 |
29,046 |
||||
| Annual increase of the volume |
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
||
| Price of liquid fuel (PhP/Liter) |
|
23.954 |
23.954 |
|||
| Annual increase of the price |
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
|||
| Total Liquid Fuel Costs |
Escalation |
months |
working capital |
695,761 |
695,761 |
|
| Total Fuel Costs |
2 |
120,329 | 721,971 |
721,971 |
721,971 |
|
| Annual increase of fuel costs |
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
|||
| Expenses from lube purchase |
2 |
986 | 5,917 |
5,917 |
5,917 |
|
| Purchase of chemical materials |
0.00% |
2 |
1,349 | 8,093 |
8,093 |
7,934 |
| Utilities (electricity, water) |
0.00% |
2 |
1,180 | 7,081 |
7,081 |
6,942 |
| DOE 1-04 (0.01 PhP/kWh sold) |
|
2 |
210 | 1,259 |
1,259 |
1,235 |
| Total Variable O&M |
|
|
3,725 |
22,351 |
22,029 |
|
| Annual increase of variable O&M |
|
-1.01% |
0.0% |
-1.4% |
||
| Variable O&M, $/kWh |
48.46 |
0.00364 |
0.00355 |
0.00357 |
||
|
|
|
|||||
| Maintenance of the installation |
0.00% |
2 |
1,686 | 10,116 |
10,116 |
9,918 |
| Personnel expense |
0.00% |
2 |
1,686 | 10,116 |
10,116 |
9,918 |
| Land lease, rent |
0.00% |
2 |
674 | 4,046 |
4,046 |
3,967 |
| Other services |
0.00% |
2 |
506 | 3,035 |
3,035 |
2,975 |
| Total Fixed O&M |
4,552 |
27,314 |
26,778 |
|||
| Annual increase of fixed O&M |
-1.20% |
0.0% |
-2.0% |
|||
| Fixed O&M, $/kW/year |
48.46 |
0.02762 |
0.03030 |
0.02971 |
||
| Taxes, Insurances, Benefits & Regulatory Costs |
0.00% |
|
0 |
20,681 |
21,994 |
|
| DSRF Expense |
0.30% |
0 |
232 |
219 |
||
|
total working capital |
||||||
| TOTAL OPERATING EXPENSE |
128,606 |
792,549 |
792,991 |
|||
| Annual increase |
-0.59% |
0.1% |
||||
| GROSS OPERATING MARGIN |
219,068 |
198,790 |
||||
| Annual increase |
-3.02% |
-9.3% |
||||
| PROFIT AND LOSS STATEMENTS | ||||||
| In ’000 PhP |
Year |
0 |
1 |
2 |
||
| Operating income |
1,011,617 |
991,781 |
||||
| Operating expense |
792,549 |
792,991 |
||||
| Operating gross margin |
219,068 |
198,790 |
||||
| - Depreciation & amortization |
51,641 |
51,641 |
||||
| - Interest |
82,498 |
73,814 |
||||
| NET PROFIT BEFORE TAX |
|
84,928 |
73,335 |
|||
| (Tax rate) and Income Tax Holiday (ITH) years |
30% |
0 |
30% |
30% |
||
| - Income tax |
25,478 |
22,000 |
||||
| NET PROFIT AFTER TAX |
59,450 |
51,334 |
||||
| Percentage of increase |
-13.7% |
|||||
| NET CASH FLOW | ||||||
|
Year |
0 |
1 |
2 |
|||
| Net profit after tax |
59,450 |
51,334 |
||||
| Addback: | ||||||
| Depreciation & Amortization |
51,641 |
51,641 |
||||
| Working Capital | ||||||
| Salvage Value | ||||||
| Add: | ||||||
| DSRF Income |
4.00% |
DSRF Income |
3,097 |
2,924 |
||
| Less: | ||||||
| Principal Repayment |
72,367 |
72,367 |
||||
| Profit Sharing |
0.00% |
of income after tax |
0 |
0 |
||
| Social Benefit Fund – Host Community |
0 |
per month |
0 |
0 |
||
| NET CASH FLOW |
41,821 |
33,531 |
||||
| Percentage of increase |
-19.8% |
|||||
| Total Initial investment |
|
1,033,816 |
||||
| Project Cash Flow |
2.15% |
12.90% |
WACC |
-1,033,816 |
41,821 |
33,531 |
|
IRR |
NPV |
-723,671 |
-1,033,816 |
36,366 |
25,355 |
|
|
check |
-669,950 |
-1,033,816 |
37,042 |
26,307 |
||
|
cumulative |
0 |
-1,033,816 |
-991,995 |
-958,464 |
||
|
project payback |
16.21 |
|
|
|
||
| Invested capital |
30.00% |
310,145 |
||||
| Equity Cash Flow |
15.00% |
15.00% |
Equity IRR |
-310,145 |
41,821 |
33,531 |
|
IRR |
NPV |
0 |
-310,145 |
36,366 |
25,355 |
|
|
check |
0 |
-310,145 |
36,366 |
25,355 |
||
|
cumulative |
0 |
-310,145 |
-268,324 |
-234,793 |
||
|
equity payback |
8.54 |
|
|
|
||
| CALCULATION OF CASH FLOW FOR DEBT SERVICE | ||||||
|
Year |
0 |
1 |
2 |
|||
| Operating gross margin |
219,068 |
198,790 |
||||
| - Income tax |
25,478 |
22,000 |
||||
| - Increase in working capital needs (WCN) |
151,378 |
-1,789 |
||||
| - Profit Sharing |
0 |
0 |
||||
| + DSRF Income |
3,097 |
2,924 |
||||
| - Social Benefit Fund |
0 |
0 |
||||
| Cash flow available for debt service (CFD) |
45,308 |
181,502 |
||||
| CALCULATION OF DEBT SERVICE COVERAGE RATIO (DSCR) | ||||||
|
Year |
0 |
1 |
2 |
|||
| Cash flow available for debt service (CFD) |
45,308 |
181,502 |
||||
| Annual debt service (DS) |
154,866 |
146,182 |
||||
| DEBT SERVICE COVERAGE RATIO (DSCR) |
0.29 |
1.24 |
||||
| CALCULATION OF DIVIDENDS PAYABLE | ||||||
|
Year |
0 |
1 |
2 |
|||
| Cash flow available for debt service (CFD) |
45,308 |
181,502 |
||||
| Annual debt service (DS) |
154,866 |
146,182 |
||||
| CF available for dividends (CFDiv = CFD-DS) |
0 |
35,320 |
||||
| Accumulated CFDiv |
0 |
0 |
35,320 |
|||
| Current year profit after tax |
59,450 |
51,334 |
||||
| Accumulated profit: limit for dividend payable |
0 |
59,450 |
110,784 |
|||
|
0 |
35,320 |
|||||
| Accumulated dividend payable |
0 |
0 |
35,320 |
|||
| Annual dividend payable |
0 |
35,320 |
||||
| CALCULATION OF NPV, IRR AND PAY-BACK ACCORDING TO INVESTED CAPITAL AND DIVIDENDS PAYABLE | ||||||
|
Year |
0 |
1 |
2 |
|||
| Invested capital |
310,145 |
|||||
| Annual dividend payable |
0 |
0 |
35,320 |
|||
| Discount rate to be applied for NPV calculation |
15.00% |
15% |
15% |
|||
| Discount factor for this rate |
1 |
1.0000 |
1.1500 |
1.3225 |
||
| Discounted dividends |
0 |
0 |
26,707 |
|||
| Present value of dividends |
252,050 |
|||||
| NPV of the investment |
-58,095 |
|||||
|
Year |
0 |
1 |
2 |
|||
| Investment schedulle |
12.29% |
15.00% |
Equity IRR |
-310,145 |
0 |
35,320 |
| IRR of Invested Capital |
IRR |
NPV |
-58,095 |
-310,145 |
0 |
26,707 |
|
|
check |
-58,095 |
-310,145 |
0 |
26,707 |
|
|
cumulative |
0 |
-310,145 |
-310,145 |
-274,825 |
||
| Pay-back term of invested capital, years |
equity payback |
9.34 |
|
|
||
| BALANCE SHEET ACCOUNTS | ||||||
| Calculation of Working Capital Needs (WCN): |
|
|||||
| Cash needed for operations (+) |
3.00 |
months of expenses |
6,828 |
6,695 |
||
| Customers / Receivables (+) |
1.00 |
months of revenue |
84,301 |
82,648 |
||
| Stocks / Inventory (+) |
2.00 |
months of fuel & chemicals |
121,677 |
121,651 |
||
| Suppliers / Payables (-) |
1.00 |
months of payables |
61,429 |
61,404 |
||
| WCN |
15.47% |
% of operating income |
151,378 |
149,590 |
||
| CALCULATION OF DEPRECIATION | ||||||
| In ’000 PhP |
Year |
0 |
1 |
2 |
||
| Initial investment in land (PhP/ha), 1 ha = 10,000 m2 |
1,000,000 |
1 |
ha | 1,000 | ||
| Freight on Board = FOB USA = $/kW |
25,021 |
18.600 |
MW | 465,395 | ||
| Ocean Freight = FRT = 5% x FOB |
5% |
23,270 | ||||
| Insurance = INS = 1% x FOB |
1% |
4,654 | ||||
| Cargo, Insurance & Freight = CIF = FOB + FRT + INS | 493,319 | |||||
| Value Added Tax = VAT = 12% x CIF |
12% |
59,198 | ||||
| Customs Duty = (CIF + VAT) x (% Duty) x (1 + % VAT) |
3% |
18,565 | ||||
| Duty-Paid Landed Cost = DPLC = CIF + VAT + Duty | 571,082 | |||||
| Local Freight Cost = LFC = 3% x CIF |
3% |
14,800 | ||||
| Delivered Cost at Site = DCS = DPLC + LFC | 585,881 | |||||
| Installation Cost = IC = 5% x FOB |
5% |
23,270 | ||||
| Total EPC = DCS + IC | 609,151 | |||||
| Contingency (10%) = EPC x 10% |
10% |
60,915 | ||||
| Documentary Stamps (1%) = EPC x 1% = DS |
1% |
6,092 | ||||
| Total Fixed Assets (EPC + Contingency + DS) | 676,158 | |||||
| Depreciation term (years) |
salvage |
0.00% |
33,808 |
20 |
677,158 |
|
| Development costs (modeler) |
1.00% |
6,772 | ||||
| Other Costs including taxes, contingencies |
12.00% |
81,259 | ||||
| Initial investment in capitalized expenses | 216,636 |
88,031 |
||||
| Amortization term (years) |
salvage |
0.00% |
10,832 |
20 |
||
| Working Capital: | ||||||
| Working capital (initial stocks – fuel) – 2 months | 120,329 | |||||
| Working capital (initial stocks – lubes) – 2 months | 986 | |||||
| Working capital (initial stocks – chemical materials) – 2 months | 1,349 | |||||
| Working capital (mobilization – utilities) – 2 months | 1,180 | |||||
| Working capital (mobilization – DOE 1-94) – 2 months | 210 | |||||
| Working capital (mobilization – maintenance) – 2 months | 1,686 | |||||
| Working capital (mobilization – personnel expense) – 2 months | 1,686 | |||||
| Working capital (pre-paid expense – advance rent) – 2 months | 674 | |||||
| Working capital (pre-paid expense – other services) – 2 months | 128,606 | 506 |
683,032 |
|||
| Interest During Construction: | ||||||
| Dev’t fees (loan arranger) |
1.00% |
6,830 | ||||
| Front end fees (loan arranger) |
1.00% |
6,830 | ||||
| Commitment fees (bank) |
0.50% |
3,415 | ||||
| Interest During Construction (bank) – 18 months |
1.50 |
12.00% |
122,946 |
140,022 |
||
| Amortization term (years) |
salvage |
0.00% |
7,001 |
20 |
||
| Total Investment (land, fixed, capitalized expenses, working capital) | 1,033,816 | |||||
| Depreciation of fixed assets |
33,808 |
33,808 |
||||
| Amortization of capitalized expenses |
10,832 |
10,832 |
||||
| Amortization of capitalized expenses |
7,001 |
7,001 |
||||
| TOTAL DEPRECIATION & AMORTIZATION EXPENSE |
51,641 |
51,641 |
||||
| Evolution of fixed assets and capitalized expenses |
Year |
0 |
1 |
2 |
||
| Land (non-depreciable) |
1,000 |
1,000 |
1,000 |
|||
| Gross fixed assets (PPE, Building, Civil Works) |
676,158 |
676,158 |
676,158 |
|||
| Accumulated depreciation |
0 |
33,808 |
67,616 |
|||
| Net fixed assets |
676,158 |
642,350 |
608,542 |
|||
| Gross capitalized expenses (Development Costs, Working Capital) |
216,636 |
216,636 |
216,636 |
|||
| Accumulated amortization |
0 |
10,832 |
21,664 |
|||
| Net capitalized expenses |
216,636 |
205,805 |
194,973 |
|||
| Gross capitalized interest during construction (IDC) |
140,022 |
140,022 |
140,022 |
|||
| Accumulated amortization |
0 |
7,001 |
14,002 |
|||
| Net capitalized intereset during construction (IDC) |
140,022 |
133,020 |
126,019 |
|||
| Total Depreciable Assets (fixed assets, capitalized expenses, IDC) |
1,032,816 |
981,175 |
929,534 |
|||
| Taxes, Insurances, Benefits & Regulatory Costs |
Year |
0 |
1 |
2 |
||
| Real Property Tax – Land |
1.60% |
of land |
16 |
16 |
||
| Real Property Tax – PPE |
1.60% |
of fixed assets |
10,278 |
9,737 |
||
| Real Property Tax – Buildings |
0.80% |
of building | ||||
| Land Lease & ROW |
0.00 |
PhP/MT coal | ||||
| Property Insurance – PPE |
0.78% |
of fixed assets |
5,274 |
5,274 |
||
| Property Insurance – Building |
0.78% |
of building | ||||
| Business Interruption Insurance |
0.56% |
of previous year’s revenue |
3,786 |
5,665 |
||
| Special Education Fund – benefits to host community |
1.00% |
of land |
10 |
10 |
||
| SEC Registration & Fees |
2,864 |
2.86 |
2.86 |
|||
| BIR Registration & Fees |
530 |
0.53 |
0.53 |
|||
| DENR Permits & Fees |
72 |
0.07 |
0.07 |
|||
| Discharge Fee (BOD, TSS) – DENR |
0 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
|||
| EMB Permits & Fees |
289 |
0.29 |
0.29 |
|||
| NWRB Permits & Fees |
17,417 |
17.42 |
17.42 |
|||
| PNRI Permits & Fees |
5,900 |
5.90 |
5.90 |
|||
| ERC Registration & Fess |
1,500 |
1.50 |
1.50 |
|||
| DOLE Permits & Fees |
155 |
0.16 |
0.16 |
|||
| DTI Permits & Fees |
0 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
|||
| LGU Registration & Fees |
1,468 |
1.47 |
1.47 |
|||
| NTC Registration & Fees |
21 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
|||
| BOC Registration & Fees |
5,000 |
5.00 |
5.00 |
|||
| PPA Registration & Fees |
1,000 |
1.00 |
1.00 |
|||
| ATO Registration & Fees |
13,050 |
13.05 |
13.05 |
|||
| PDEA Registration & Fees |
3,000 |
3.00 |
3.00 |
|||
| BOI Registration & Fees |
4,500 |
4.50 |
4.50 |
|||
| DOE Permits & Fees |
800 |
0.80 |
0.80 |
|||
| Local Business Taxes (1/2 of 1% of GR) |
0.00% |
of gross revenue |
0 |
0 |
||
| National Franchise Taxes (1/2 of 1% of GR) |
0.00% |
of gross revenue |
0 |
0 |
||
| DOE 1-94 (PhP 0.01 per kWh sold) |
0.01 |
per kWh sold |
1,259 |
1,235 |
||
| Total Taxes, Insurances & Regulatory Costs |
20,681 |
21,994 |
||||
| DEBT SERVICE CALCULATION | ||||||
| In ’000 PhP |
Year |
0 |
1 |
2 |
||
| Total Initial investment |
1,033,816 |
|||||
| % to be financed by capital |
Equity IRR |
15.00% |
30.00% |
|||
| % to be financed by non refundable subsidy |
Subsidy |
0.00% |
0.00% |
|||
| % to be financed by debt |
Debt Interest |
12.00% |
70.00% |
|||
| Initial amount of capital |
WACC |
12.90% |
310,145 |
|||
| Amount of subsidy |
0 |
|||||
| Initial amount of debt |
723,671 |
|||||
| Repayment term (years) | 72,367 |
10 |
||||
| Constant Repayment Method: | ||||||
| Annual repayment |
72,367 |
72,367 |
||||
| Amount of debt at year end |
723,671 |
651,304 |
578,937 |
|||
| Average amount of debt |
687,487 |
615,120 |
||||
| Reference interest rate (Libor or other) |
10.00% |
10.00% |
10.00% |
|||
| Spread |
2.00% |
2.00% |
2.00% |
|||
| Interest rate of debt |
1 |
12.00% |
12.00% |
12.00% |
||
| Interest based on average amount of debt |
82,498 |
73,814 |
||||
| Declining Balance Method: | ||||||
| Beginning Balance |
723,671 |
682,433 |
||||
| Interest based on beginning balance |
0 |
17.70% |
12.00% |
86,841 |
81,892 |
|
| Principal repayment | 128,078 |
10 |
41,238 |
46,186 |
||
| Remaining balance |
723,671 |
682,433 |
636,247 |
|||
|
Year |
0 |
1 |
2 |
|||
| Beginning Balance |
723,671 |
651,304 |
||||
| Annual amount of interest |
82,498 |
73,814 |
||||
| Annual amount of principal |
72,367 |
72,367 |
||||
| Annual debt service (principal + interest) |
154,866 |
146,182 |
||||
| Ending Balance |
723,671 |
651,304 |
578,937 |
|||
| Debt Service Reserve Fund |
6 |
months of debt service |
77,433 |
73,091 |
||
| DSRF Income -interest on Foreign Currency Deposit |
4.00% |
DSRF Income |
3,097 |
2,924 |
||
| Withholding Tax on Foreign Currency Deposit |
7.50% |
WHTax | ||||
| DSRF Expense – withholding tax |
0.30% |
DSRF Expense |
232 |
219 |
||
| BALANCE SHEET | ||||||
| BALANCE SHEET BEFORE DIVIDEND PAYMENT | ||||||
| In ’000 PhP |
Year |
0 |
1 |
2 |
||
| Cash needed for operations |
0 |
6,828 |
6,695 |
|||
| Additional cash (if negative, it would represent additional debt) |
0 |
-112,655 |
-80,259 |
|||
| Receivables / Customers |
0 |
84,301 |
82,648 |
|||
| Stocks / Inventory |
0 |
121,677 |
121,651 |
|||
| Land |
1,000 |
1,000 |
1,000 |
|||
| Fixed assets (net) |
676,158 |
642,350 |
608,542 |
|||
| Capitalized expenses (net) |
216,636 |
205,805 |
194,973 |
|||
| Capitalized IDC (net) |
140,022 |
133,020 |
126,019 |
|||
| Total assets |
1,033,816 |
1,082,327 |
1,061,269 |
|||
| Suppliers / Payables |
0 |
61,429 |
61,404 |
|||
| Debt |
723,671 |
651,304 |
578,937 |
|||
| Shareholder’s Advances | ||||||
| Current year profit after tax |
0 |
59,450 |
51,334 |
|||
| Accumulated reserves |
0 |
0 |
59,450 |
|||
| Subsidy |
0 |
0 |
0 |
|||
| Capital |
310,145 |
310,145 |
310,145 |
|||
| Total liabilities and net worth |
1,033,816 |
1,082,327 |
1,061,269 |
|||
|
variance |
- | - | - | |||
| BALANCE SHEET AFTER DIVIDEND PAYMENT | ||||||
|
Year |
0 |
1 |
2 |
|||
| Cash needed for operations |
0 |
6,828 |
6,695 |
|||
| Additional cash (if negative, it would represent additional debt) |
0 |
-112,655 |
-115,579 |
|||
| Receivables / Customers |
0 |
84,301 |
82,648 |
|||
| Stocks / Inventory |
0 |
121,677 |
121,651 |
|||
| Land |
1,000 |
1,000 |
1,000 |
|||
| Fixed assets (net) |
676,158 |
642,350 |
608,542 |
|||
| Capitalized expenses (net) |
216,636 |
205,805 |
194,973 |
|||
| Capitalized IDC (net) |
140,022 |
133,020 |
126,019 |
|||
| Total assets |
1,033,816 |
1,082,327 |
1,025,949 |
|||
| Suppliers / Payables |
0 |
61,429 |
61,404 |
|||
| Debt |
723,671 |
651,304 |
578,937 |
|||
| Shareholder’s Advances | ||||||
| Current year profit after tax | ||||||
| Reserves |
0 |
59,450 |
75,464 |
|||
| Subsidy |
0 |
0 |
0 |
|||
| Capital |
310,145 |
310,145 |
310,145 |
|||
| Total liabilities and net worth |
1,033,816 |
1,082,327 |
1,025,949 |
|||
|
variance |
- | - | - | |||
| Calculation of Dividends Payable | ||||||
| Gross Margin |
219,068 |
198,790 |
||||
| Income Tax (-) |
25,478 |
22,000 |
||||
| Increase in Working Capital (-) |
151,378 |
-1,789 |
||||
| Profit Sharing (-) |
0 |
0 |
||||
| DSRF Income (+) |
3,097 |
2,924 |
||||
| Social Benefit Fund (-) |
0 |
0 |
||||
| Cash flow available for debt service (CFD) |
45,308 |
181,502 |
||||
| Annual debt service (DS) = Interest + Principal |
154,866 |
146,182 |
||||
| CF available for dividends (CFDiv = CFD-DS) |
0 |
35,320 |
||||
| Accumulated CFDiv |
0 |
0 |
35,320 |
|||
| Current year profit = Income After Tax |
59,450 |
51,334 |
||||
| Accumulated profit: limit for dividend payable |
0 |
59,450 |
110,784 |
|||
| Accumulated dividend payable |
0 |
0 |
35,320 |
|||
| Annual dividend payable |
planned |
actual |
-310,145 |
0 |
35,320 |
|
| Investor 1 |
60.00% |
55.68% |
-186,087 |
0 |
21,192 |
|
| Investor 2 |
20.00% |
42.42% |
-62,029 |
0 |
7,064 |
|
| Investor 3 |
20.00% |
1.91% |
-62,029 |
0 |
7,064 |
|
| CASH FLOW STATEMENT |
Year |
0 |
1 |
2 |
||
| OPERATIONS | ||||||
| Net Income (after tax) |
0 |
59,450 |
51,334 |
|||
| Add: Depreciation & Amortization |
0 |
51,641 |
51,641 |
|||
| (Increase) / Decrease in Receivables |
0 |
-84,301 |
1,653 |
|||
| (Increase) / Decrease in Inventories |
0 |
-121,677 |
26 |
|||
| Increase / (Decrease) in Accounts Payable |
0 |
61,429 |
-25 |
|||
| Net Cash flow from Operations |
0 |
-33,459 |
104,630 |
|||
| INVESTMENTS | ||||||
| Additions to PP&E |
676,158 |
-676,158 |
0 |
0 |
||
| Additions to Capitalized Expenses |
216,636 |
-216,636 |
0 |
0 |
||
| Additions to Capitalized IDC |
140,022 |
-140,022 |
0 |
0 |
||
| Additions to Land |
1,000 |
-1,000 |
0 |
0 |
||
| Net Cash flow Used for Investments |
1,033,816 |
-1,033,816 |
0 |
0 |
||
| Cash flow before Financing |
-1,033,816 |
-33,459 |
104,630 |
|||
| FINANCING | ||||||
| Increase (Decrease) in Shareholder Advances |
0 |
0 |
0 |
|||
| Increase (Decrease) in Long-term Debt |
723,671 |
723,671 |
-72,367 |
-72,367 |
||
| Increase (Decrease) in Subsidy |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
||
| Increase (Decrease) in Capital Stock |
310,145 |
310,145 |
0 |
0 |
||
| Net Cash flow from Financing |
1,033,816 |
1,033,816 |
-72,367 |
-72,367 |
||
| NET CASH FLOW |
0 |
-105,826 |
32,262 |
|||
| Add: Beginning Cash Balance |
0 |
-105,826 |
||||
| ENDING CASH BALANCE |
0.00 |
-105,826 |
-73,564 |
|||
| Levelized Price and Generation Cost of Electricity |
Year |
0 |
1 |
2 |
||
| Discounting Rate, % p.a. |
15.00% |
48.46 |
NPV |
|||
| Electricity sales | MWh |
$/kWh |
PhP/kWh |
744,221 |
125,928 |
123,459 |
| TOTAL OPERATING INCOME (levelized price) | 000 PhP |
0.1658 |
8.0333 |
5,978,542 |
1,011,617 |
991,781 |
| Total Fuel Costs | 000 PhP |
0.1245 |
6.0344 |
4,490,959 |
721,971 |
721,971 |
|
|
|
|||||
| Expenses from lube purchase | 000 PhP |
0.0010 |
0.0495 |
36,809 |
5,917 |
5,917 |
| Purchase of chemical materials | 000 PhP |
0.0013 |
0.0643 |
47,828 |
8,093 |
7,934 |
| Utilities (electricity, water) | 000 PhP |
0.0012 |
0.0562 |
41,850 |
7,081 |
6,942 |
| DOE 1-04 (0.01 PhP/kWh sold) | 000 PhP |
0.0002 |
0.0100 |
7,442 |
1,259 |
1,235 |
|
|
|
|||||
| Maintenance of the installation | 000 PhP |
0.0017 |
0.0803 |
59,785 |
10,116 |
9,918 |
| Personnel expense | 000 PhP |
0.0017 |
0.0803 |
59,785 |
10,116 |
9,918 |
| Land lease, rent | 000 PhP |
0.0007 |
0.0321 |
23,914 |
4,046 |
3,967 |
| Other services | 000 PhP |
0.0005 |
0.0241 |
17,936 |
3,035 |
2,975 |
| Taxes, Insurances, Benefits & Regulatory Costs | 000 PhP |
0.0033 |
0.1603 |
119,310 |
20,681 |
21,994 |
| DSRF Expense | 000 PhP |
0.0000 |
0.0013 |
945 |
232 |
219 |
|
|
|
|||||
| - Depreciation & amortization | 000 PhP |
0.0090 |
0.4343 |
323,237 |
51,641 |
51,641 |
| - Interest | 000 PhP |
0.0074 |
0.3582 |
266,590 |
82,498 |
73,814 |
| - Income tax | 000 PhP |
0.0040 |
0.1944 |
144,645 |
25,478 |
22,000 |
|
|
|
|||||
| Total Generation Cost |
0.1564 |
7.5798 |
5,641,036 |
952,167 |
940,447 |
|
| Net Profit |
0.0094 |
0.4535 |
337,506 |
59,449.75 |
51,334.16 |
|
2 Responses to “Hybrid Diesel Power Plant Feed-In Tariff, Levelized Cost and Financial Model”
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November 26th, 2009 at 5:23 am
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November 26th, 2009 at 5:23 am
[...] http://energytechnologyexpert.com/financial-models/diesel-power-plant-feed-in-tariff-levelized-cost-... [...]