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How to Optimize Power Plant Design and Configuration (technology, capacity, efficiency, location)

January 11th, 2010 Posted in financial models

How to Optimize Power Plant Design and Configuration (technology, capacity, efficiency, location) – see download file for input data

Optimizing the overall project concept during the plant feasibility study and detailed engineering study is a common problem faced by project developers and EPC contractors.  The question commonly asked by project owners from project developers and designers are:

(1) What engine/manufacturer should be considered (e.g. Siemens, Westinghouse, General Electric, Mitsubishi, Alstom, etc)?

(2) What is the minimum or optimal plant capacity given the range of power and energy demand (too low a capacity will not meet break even, too high a capacity will result in unutilized surplus capacity without corresponding benefits since it is demand limited)

(3) What is the maximum plant heat rate (or minimum thermal efficiency) given the type of fuel used (coal, oil, natural gas, nuclear, biomass, hydro, wind, solar) needed so that the utilization of expensive fuel given the cost of the technology will still result in an electricity tariff that is competitive without the need of subsidy?

(4) What is the optimum overhaul cycle (too frequent overhauls may not be justified by the overhaul cost and foregone energy and power sales, while long intervals between overhauls may result in deteriorating efficiency leading to higher fuel consumption, excessive down times leading to lower plant reliability and lower power and energy sales)?

(5) What is the optimum plant location considering the cost of the cooling system (once thru sea water, once thru lake water, river water cooling tower, deep well water cooling tower, radiator cooling) and cost of pumping energy, cost of the transmission system (type of T/L, length of wire, type of conductor) and the cost of lost energy, and delivered cost of the primary and backup fuels (piped natural gas and oils, delivery by barges or tank trucks)?

(6) What is the minimum level of non-refundable subsidy (no interest, no principal repayment) or maximum interest of debt (loan interest with principal repayment) needed to attain reasonable investor returns (as minimum equity DCR IRR).

(7) What is the minimum price of carbon emission reduction (CER) certificates (the model has an initial value of US$5.00 per metric ton of CO2 equivalent) so that including CDM will result in attaining minimum investor returns.

(8) In rural electrification, it is often required by the electricity regulator (ERC) that the project proponent has determined the “best new entrant” power generation technology in order that subsidies, if so required, are as minimum as possible.  This means the proponent has analyzed various power generation technologies suchs as diesel engines, renewable energy sources (biomass, mini-hydro, wind, solar, biogas) and hybrid combinations thereof with diesels for stable 24/7 electricity service.

(9) Lastly, when upon doing all possible ways of optimizing each system and determining the “best new entrant”, yet the resulting tariff is still higher than the average of the national or regional grid, then a feed-in tariff (FIT) mechanism is applied by the electricity regulator in order that the said renewable energy resource is able to operate efficiently and recover its costs and reasonable profit expected by any power investor. It has been concluded that without the FIT mechanism, renewable energy sources will never be able to compete and penetrate the grid since by its very nature (expensive, intermittent), it is generally more expensive than conventional fuels such as coal, oils, nuclear and large hydro.

Based on the author’s experience in conducting sensitivity analysis, the most significant variables affecting the economic returns of a project (as DCF IRR) are: electricity tariff at the given location/market, cost of delivered fuel, all-in project cost, plant heat rate (efficiency), O&M costs, degradation rates (capacity and heat rate), cost of capital (minimum hurdle rate for equity investments, cost of debt or bank loan), and equity structure (% equity, % subsidy, % debt).

As you have carefully guessed, the author has indeed developed a project finance model with built-in carbon emission reduction credit cash flows under the CDM of the Kyoto Protocol.

The user inputs will clearly show the extent of how the author has considered all the above variables into a robust and unified project finance model that allows sensitivity runs in order to determine what combination will result in the optimal design concept.  Optimal conditions are achieved when the DCF IRR is maximum, or the electricity tariff is minimum, or the all-in project cost is minimum, or the delivered fuel cost is minimum.

Thru a series of macros that vary each combination and pasting the results in a table for future comparison, the designer will be able to optimize the design concept in a breeze thru the click of the computer mouse!

For more information, you may write the author your specific concerns and needs:

Marcial T. Ocampo

email mars_ocampo@yahoo.com

energydataexpert@gmail.ocm

web   www.energytechnologyexpert.com

http://ph.linkedin.com/in/ocampomarcial

================= sample model inputs for optimizing power plant design and configuration

DATA INPUTS

Instructions for Running this Project Finance Model (by Marcial T. Ocampo)

1200 MW Simple Cycle GT (24 units x 50 MW each)

Enter the required data starting from the first step to the last step, then converge the model by pressing ctrl + d

0)

0

Include Carbon Emission Credits (CDM)

Blue cells are input fields for updating

These cells are case switches

1)

2

Define the NPV and return IRR to be used (1-4).

0

NPV-ROI return on investment (100% equity, 0% debt) – project cost versus cash flow (need to set equity to 0%)

1

NPV-ROE return on equity (say 30% equity, 70% debt) – equity portion of project cost versus cash flow (default)

0

NPV-FC return on equity (say 30% equity, 70% debt) – equity portion of project cost versus dividends flow (no depreciation)

0

NPV-FC discounted return on equity (say 30% equity, 70% debt) – equity portion of project cost versus discounted dividends flow (depreciating currency)

2)

25

Define the operating period (25 to 30 years) for the CCGT. This model is for 25 years but user may insert additional columns or delete columns to match period with project life.

2009

Define the end of construction period (year 0). It assumes everything has been constructed and finished at the end of this year (0) and will operate on following year (1).

3)

If you need to insert columns (increase operating period from 25 to say 30 years), place cursor at cell AA1

in both Main and Reports worksheet, then highlight to the right the number of columns to add, then insert columns.

Then copy the entire column range (AA10 .. AA615) in Main worksheet (the model sheet) up to the 2nd to the last column (say year 29)

Then copy the entire column range (AA1 .. AA277) in Reports worksheet (the report sheet) up to the 2nd to the last column (say year 29)

Be careful in copying the columns.  You must preserve the overhaul cycle for the overhaul and regular maintenance activities (rows 34 to 35) of Main worksheet.

4)

Define overhaul cycle and capacity degradation

1.00%

Normal, % p.a. normal degradation rate

-4.00%

Overhaul, % p.a. degradation recovered after overhaul

5

Overhaul Cycle, yr overhaul cycle

80.00%

Recovery, % fraction of normal degradation recovered during overhaul

6

per unit

5)

1

Select engine model & manufacturer (1-6)

MW gross

own use(1)

MW net

Heat Rate, kJ / kWh

Efficiency, %

Cost, $/kW

Variable O&M

Fixed O&M

MW gross

24

1

Simple Gas Turbine Aero Derivative

1,200.000

1,200.000

9,474

38.00%

325

0.005

0.040

50.000

1

0

Recuperated GT

3.200

3.200

8,889

40.50%

400

0.005

0.040

3.200

1

0

CHAT 11 MW

11.000

11.000

8,090

44.50%

800

0.005

0.040

11.000

1

0

CHAT 300 MW

300.000

300.000

6,581

54.70%

375

0.005

0.040

300.000

1

0

Heavy Frame GT

200.000

200.000

10,286

35.00%

560

0.005

0.040

200.000

1

0

Other models, etc.

250.000

250.000

9286

38.77%

660

0.005

0.040

250.000

Used

Simple Gas Turbine Aero Derivative

1,200.000

0.000

1,200.000

9,474

38.00%

325.00

0.00500

0.040

(1) Own use is mainly condenser cooling pumping power

6)

1

Select plant location / method of cooling of condenser (1-5)

Length, m

Head, m

Temp rise, deg C

Flow, m3/hr

kW Power(2)

% of Gross Power

Cost, $(3)

cooling medium flow rate

1

Once thru sea water

2,000.00

31.50

3.00

292,349

20,075.62

1.673%

sea water (m3/hr)

0

Once thru lake water

400.00

15.00

3.00

292,349

9,559.82

0.797%

lake water (m3/hr)

0

River water cooling tower

2,000.00

30.00

10.00

87,705

5,735.89

0.478%

river water (m3/hr)

0

Deep well water cooling tower

1,000.00

60.00

10.00

87,705

11,471.78

0.956%

deep well (m3/hr)

0

Radiator cooling

13.00

173,482

7,837.50

0.653%

ambient air (MT/hr)

Used

Once thru sea water

20,075.62

1.673%

0

(2) Power = 9.81 x (Q/3600) x H x 80% (3) Cost estimate of piping, pump, treatment, etc.

7)

Once thru cooling (sea water, lake water)

1,200.000

MWh / h

800.000

Heat to Boiler (2/3) since (1/3) goes to gas turbine

2,105

MWh / h

38.0%

Overall Fuel to Electricity Efficiency

fuel to electricity

2,105,263

kWh / h

1,000

kWh / MWh

7,578,947,368

kJ / h

3,600

kJ / kWh

7,183,427,832

BTU / h

1.05506

kJ / BTU

Energy input from fuel

6,105,913,657

BTU / h

85%

Boiler Efficiency

Energy to steam

1,077,514,175

BTU / h

15%

Heat Losses to Atmosphere

Energy to atmosphere & losses

6,105,913,657

BTU / h

Energy input to steam turbine

2,442,365,463

BTU / h

40%

Rankin Steam Turbine Efficiency

Energy to drive shaft

3,663,548,194

BTU / h

60%

Heat Losses to Condenser

Energy to condenser / cooling tower

2,442,365,463

BTU / h

Energy input to drive shaft

2,369,582,972

BTU / h

97%

Mechanical Drive (99%) & Generator Efficiency (98%) Energy to electricity

72,782,491

BTU / h

3%

Heat Losses to Generator

Energy to generator losses

3,663,548,194

BTU / h

Energy input to condenser / cooling tower

3,480,370,785

BTU / h

95%

Heat transferred to cooling water

Energy to cooling water

183,177,410

BTU / h

5%

Heat Losses to Atmosphere

Energy to atmosphere & losses

3.0

Allowable temperature Rise, deg C

Water allowable temperature rise

1.8

deg F per deg C rise

5.4

Allowable temperature Rise, deg F

1.00

Specific heat of lake water, Btu / lb deg F Water specific heat

644,513,108

lb / h

5.4

Allowable Btu / lb

292,349,228

kg / h

2.2046

lb / kg

292,349

cum / h

1,000

kg / cubic meter (kg / cum)

Cooling Water

8)

Water cooling tower (river water, deep well)

1,200.000

MWh / h

800.000

Heat to Boiler (2/3) since (1/3) goes to gas turbine

2,105

MWh / h

38.0%

Overall Fuel to Electricity Efficiency

fuel to electricity

2,105,263

kWh / h

1,000

kWh / MWh

7,578,947,368

kJ / h

3,600

kJ / kWh

7,183,427,832

BTU / h

1.05506

kJ / BTU

Energy input from fuel

6,105,913,657

BTU / h

85%

Boiler Efficiency

Energy to steam

1,077,514,175

BTU / h

15%

Heat Losses to Atmosphere

Energy to atmosphere & losses

6,105,913,657

BTU / h

Energy input to steam turbine

2,442,365,463

BTU / h

40%

Rankin Steam Turbine Efficiency

Energy to drive shaft

3,663,548,194

BTU / h

60%

Heat Losses to Condenser

Energy to condenser / cooling tower

2,442,365,463

BTU / h

Energy input to drive shaft

2,369,582,972

BTU / h

97%

Mechanical Drive (99%) & Generator Efficiency (98%) Energy to electricity

72,782,491

BTU / h

3%

Heat Losses to Generator

Energy to generator losses

3,663,548,194

BTU / h

Energy input to condenser / cooling tower

3,480,370,785

BTU / h

95%

Heat transferred to cooling water

Energy to cooling water

183,177,410

BTU / h

5%

Heat Losses to Atmosphere

Energy to atmosphere & losses

10.0

Allowable temperature Rise, deg C

Water allowable temperature rise

1.8

deg F per deg C rise

18

Allowable temperature Rise, deg F

1.00

Specific heat of lake water, Btu / lb deg F Water specific heat

193,353,932

lb / h

18

Allowable Btu / lb

87,704,768

kg / h

2.2046

lb / kg

87,705

cum / h

1,000

kg / cubic meter (kg / cum)

Cooling Water

9)

Radiator cooling (ambient air)

1,200.000

MWh / h

800.000

Heat to Boiler (2/3) since (1/3) goes to gas turbine

2,105

MWh / h

38.0%

Overall Fuel to Electricity Efficiency

fuel to electricity

2,105,263

kWh / h

1,000

kWh / MWh

7,578,947,368

kJ / h

3,600

kJ / kWh

7,183,427,832

BTU / h

1.05506

kJ / BTU

Energy input from fuel

6,105,913,657

BTU / h

85%

Boiler Efficiency

Energy to steam

1,077,514,175

BTU / h

15%

Heat Losses to Atmosphere

Energy to atmosphere & losses

6,105,913,657

BTU / h

Energy input to steam turbine

2,442,365,463

BTU / h

40%

Rankin Steam Turbine Efficiency

Energy to drive shaft

3,663,548,194

BTU / h

60%

Heat Losses to Condenser

Energy to condenser / cooling tower

2,442,365,463

BTU / h

Energy input to drive shaft

2,369,582,972

BTU / h

97%

Mechanical Drive (99%) & Generator Efficiency (98%) Energy to electricity

72,782,491

BTU / h

3%

Heat Losses to Generator

Energy to generator losses

3,663,548,194

BTU / h

Energy input to condenser / cooling tower

3,480,370,785

BTU / h

95%

Heat transferred to cooling air

Energy to cooling water

183,177,410

BTU / h

5%

Heat Losses to Atmosphere

Energy to atmosphere & losses

13.0

Allowable temperature Rise, deg C (10 TO 16) Allowable ambient air temperature rise

1.8

deg F per deg C rise

23.4

Allowable temperature Rise, deg F

0.389

Specific heat of air, Btu / lb deg F = 7/18 Ambient Air specific heat

382,458,328

lb / h

9.1

Allowable Btu / lb

173,481,960

kg / h

2.2046

lb / kg

173,482

MT / h

1,000

kg / MT

Cooling Ambient Air

10)

Define overhaul, maintenance, shutdown and outages

28

Planned Overhaul, days (4 wks)

14

Regular Maintenance, days (2 wks)

0.10%

Economic S/D, % of CD

0.50%

Deactivated S/D – External, % of CD

5.00%

Forced Outage – Internal, % of CD

95.00%

Load Factor, % of DC

11)

Define overhaul cycle and heat rate degradation

1.00%

Normal, % p.a. normal degradation rate

-4.00%

Overhaul, % p.a. degradation recovered after overhaul

5

Overhaul Cycle, yr overhaul cycle

80.00%

Recovery, % fraction of normal degradation recovered during overhaul

12)

Define transmission line (T/L) system and cost

Sea water

Lake water

River Water

Deep Well

Radiator

Selected

Line Voltage

kV

230

230

230

230

230

230

Power

kW

1,200,000

1,200,000

1,200,000

1,200,000

1,200,000

1,200,000

Length

km

20.00

10.00

15.00

15.00

25.00

20.00

1.609

km / mile

Power Factor

lag

0.85

0.85

0.85

0.85

0.85

0.85

Cost per kilometer of T/L

$/km

$360,000

$396,000

$432,000

$432,000

$324,000

$360,000

4

Conductor type (1-4)

Seaside City

Lakeside City

Riverside City

Riverside City

Inland City

ACSR (MCM)

% T/L Loss

% T/L Loss

% T/L Loss

% T/L Loss

% T/L Loss

Selected

1

ACSR (MCM) 336

11.814%

5.907%

8.861%

8.861%

14.768%

11.814%

2

ACSR (MCM) 795

5.654%

2.827%

4.240%

4.240%

7.067%

5.654%

AAC (MCM)

0.000%

3

AAC (MCM) 336

11.539%

5.770%

8.655%

8.655%

14.424%

11.539%

4

AAC (MCM) 789

4.914%

2.457%

3.686%

3.686%

6.143%

4.914%

Used

AAC (MCM) 789

4.914%

2.457%

3.686%

3.686%

6.143%

4.914%

13)

Define other power losses

1.00%

Step-up Transformer Loss (Switchyard), MWh

0.00%

Other Losses (non-technical, pilferage), MWh

14)

Define fuel properties

GHV, Btu/lb

NHV, Btu/lb

GHV / NHV

kg / Liter

Btu/liter

Reference

$/MMBtu

PhP / liter 2009

95.00%

Natural Gas (Malampaya Gas) – main fuel

22,129

20,249

1.093

2009

$GJ

8.628

9.10

418.11

PhP/GJ

5.00%

Diesel Oil – backup fuel (gas pipeline downtime)

19,650

18,453

1.065

0.8448

36,597

46.44

16.92

30.00

PhP/liter

4.00%

Low Sulfur Fuel Oil (LSFO – 1% S) – boiler fuel

18,400

17,449

1.055

0.9659

39,181

35.97

12.24

23.24

PhP/liter

1.00%

Bunker Fuel Oil (BFO – 3% S) – boiler fuel

19,670

18,565

1.060

0.8916

38,664

34.84

12.01

22.51

PhP/liter

Lube Oil

0.8500

232.00

149.87

PhP/liter

2.2046

lb/kg

1.05506

kJ/Btu

15)

Lube Oil Consumption

1.00%

Normal, % p.a. normal degradation rate

-4.00%

Overhaul, % p.a. degradation recovered after overhaul

5

Overhaul Cycle, yr overhaul cycle

80.00%

Recovery, % fraction of normal degradation recovered during overhaul

0.254

Ideal Lube Oil Consumption, g/kWh

16)

0

Escalate fuel, lubes, tariff and O&M costs? (1=yes, 0=no)

Used

3.00%

Natural Gas (Malampaya Gas) – main fuel

0.00%

3.50%

Diesel Oil – backup fuel (gas pipeline downtime)

0.00%

2.50%

Low Sulfur Fuel Oil (LSFO – 1% S) – boiler fuel

0.00%

2.00%

Bunker Fuel Oil (BFO – 3% S) – boiler fuel

0.00%

5.00%

Lube Oil

0.00%

17)

Escalation rates for tariff and O&M costs

Used

(e.g. US)

5.00%

Annual increase of the tariff, % p.a.

0.00%

Foreign (US)

US CPI

Local (RP)

RP CPI

% of operating income Calculated Paul Breeze

3.25%

Purchase of chemical materials

0.00%

70.00%

2.50%

30.00%

5.00%

1.66%

variable O&M

3.25%

Utilities (electricity, water)

0.00%

70.00%

2.50%

30.00%

5.00%

1.66%

variable O&M

0.00500

0.00500

4.25%

Maintenance of the installation

0.00%

30.00%

2.50%

70.00%

5.00%

1.20%

fixed O&M

4.25%

Personnel expense

0.00%

30.00%

2.50%

70.00%

5.00%

1.21%

fixed O&M

4.25%

Land lease, rent

0.00%

30.00%

2.50%

70.00%

5.00%

1.20%

fixed O&M

4.25%

Other services

0.00%

30.00%

2.50%

70.00%

5.00%

1.20%

fixed O&M

0.0400

0.0400

5.00%

Taxes, Insurances, Benefits & Regulatory Costs

0.00%

18)

Define electricity sales & revenues

Factor

Adjustment

70.00%

Electricity sales to DU, MWh

1.000

0.00%

discount price to direct customers (e.g. -10%)

20.00%

Electricity sales to NPC, MWh

1.000

0.00%

reference price to national grid (e.g. 0%)

10.00%

Electricity sales to WESM, MWh

1.000

0.00%

wholesale spot market price (e.g. +15%)

100.00%

Total must add to 100%

19)

Define working capital for initial project cost (months)

$/year

Working Capital

0

Total Fuel Costs

39,760,887

0

no working capital for natural gas fuel (could not be stored)

1

Expenses from lube purchase

404,243

33,687

1

Purchase of chemical materials

833,882

69,490

1

Utilities (electricity, water)

833,882

69,490

1

DOE 1-04 (0.01 PhP/kWh sold)

84,294

7,024

0.01

DOE 1-94 impost per kWh sold

1

Maintenance of the installation

602,806

50,234

48.46

PhP/US$ exchange rate

1

Personnel expense

607,830

50,652

1

Land lease, rent

602,806

50,234

1

Other services

602,806

50,234

Total working capital

44,333,436

381,046

20)

Define corporate income tax rate and income tax holiday

30%

Corporate income tax rate (% of taxable income)

0

Income tax holiday (ITH), years

21)

Expenses not eligible for income tax deduction

sample data

0.00%

Profit Sharing of income after tax

5.00%

0

Social Benefit Fund – Host Community per month

10,000

22)

Calculation of Working Capital Needs (WCN)

3.00

Cash needed for operations (+) months of expenses

1.00

Customers / Receivables (+) months of revenue

2.00

Stocks / Inventory (+) months of fuel & chemicals

1.00

Suppliers / Payables (-) months of payables

23)

Estimate all-in capital cost

000 PhP

Initial investment in land (US$/ha), 1 ha = 10,000 m2

100,000.00

10

ha

1,000

325.00

Freight on Board = FOB USA = $/kW

15,749.50

1,200.000

MW

18,899,400

5%

Ocean Freight = FRT = 5% x FOB

2%

377,988

1%

Insurance = INS = 1% x FOB

1%

188,994

Cargo, Insurance & Freight = CIF = FOB + FRT + INS

19,466,382

12%

Value Added Tax = VAT = 12% x CIF

0%

3%

Customs Duty = (CIF + VAT) x (% Duty) x (1 + % VAT)

0%

Duty-Paid Landed Cost = DPLC = CIF + VAT + Duty

19,466,382

3%

Local Freight Cost = LFC = 3% x CIF

1%

194,664

Delivered Cost at Site = DCS = DPLC + LFC

19,661,046

5%

Installation Cost = IC = 5% x FOB

2%

377,988

Condenser Cooling System

0

Transmission Line, PhP per km and km length

17,445,600

20.00

km

348,912

Total EPC = DCS + IC+ CCS + T/L

20,387,946

10%

Contingency (10%) = EPC x 10%

0%

1%

Documentary Stamps (1%) = EPC x 1% = DS

0%

Total Fixed Assets (EPC + Contingency + DS)

20,387,946

10.00%

Depreciation term (years)

salvage

10.00%

733,966

25

20,388,946

000 US$

000 PhP

Developer/Modeler/Arranger Fees

1.00%

Development costs (developer, modeler)

2.00%

407,779

$4,207

203,889

developer (1%) Robert Jimenez

12.00%

Other Costs including taxes, contingencies

0.00%

-

$4,207

203,889

modeler (1%) Marcial Ocampo

Carbon Emission Registration & Consultancy

-

$11,338

549,435

arranger (2%) Juan dela Cruz

Initial investment in capitalized expenses

7,082,825

407,779

$19,753

957,214

Total developer/modeler/arranger

10.00%

Amortization term (years)

salvage

10.00%

254,982

25

Working Capital:

Working capital (adjustments for DSCR = 1.1)

1.000

6,294,000

Working capital (initial stocks – fuel) – 2 months

Working capital (initial stocks – lubes) – 2 months

33,687

Working capital (initial stocks – chemical materials) – 2 months

69,490

Working capital (mobilization – utilities) – 2 months

69,490

Working capital (mobilization – DOE 1-94) – 2 months

7,024

Working capital (mobilization – maintenance) – 2 months

50,234

Working capital (mobilization – personnel expense) – 2 months

50,652

Working capital (pre-paid expense – advance rent) – 2 months

50,234

Working capital (pre-paid expense – other services) – 2 months

6,675,046

50,234

27,471,771

Interest During Construction:

1.00%

Dev’t fees (loan arranger)

1.00%

274,718

Year -2

Year -1

Year 0

Construction period

1.00%

Front end fees (loan arranger)

1.00%

274,718

33.0%

33.0%

34.0%

drawdown rate

0.50%

Commitment fees (bank)

0.50%

138,732

9,065,684

9,065,684

9,340,402

annual drawdown

12.00%

Interest During Construction (bank) – 36 months

3.00

6.00%

3,280,129

3,968,297

9,065,684

18,131,369

27,471,771

cumulative drawdown

10.00%

Amortization term (years)

salvage

10.00%

142,859

25

92,030

46,702

0

fee on undrawn amount

Capital

Total Investment (land, fixed, capitalized expenses, working capital)

31,440,068

31,440,068

543,941

1,087,882

1,648,306

interest on cumulative drawdown

$/kW

541

648,784

US$

24)

Taxes, Insurances, Benefits & Regulatory Costs

Real Property Tax – Land

1.60%

of land

NOTE: Differentiate between one time, cyclic (every 2 or 5 years) and recurring (annual)

Real Property Tax – PPE

1.60%

of fixed assets

and vary the formula in the Main worksheet accordingly.

Real Property Tax – Buildings

0.80%

of building

For simplicity in this model, they are assumed to be annual fees to be conservative.

Land Lease & ROW

0.00

US$/MT coal

Property Insurance – PPE

0.78%

of fixed assets

Property Insurance – Building

0.78%

of building

Business Interruption Insurance

0.56%

of previous year’s revenue

of Capital

Special Education Fund – benefits to host community

1.00%

of land

0.277%

SEC Registration & Fees

87,088.99

Securities & Exchange Commission (certificate of registration)

BIR Registration & Fees

530.00

Bureau of Internal Revenue (registration of TIN, VAT)

0.007%

DENR Permits & Fees

2,200.80

Department of Environment & Natural Resources (EIS, ECC)

Discharge Fee (BOD, TSS) – DENR

0.00

water pollution discharge permit (4 wastes at 600 each)

0.028%

EMB Permits & Fees

8,803.22

Environment Management Bureau (air quality)

NWRB Permits & Fees

17,416.50

National Water Resources Board (water use permit)

PNRI Permits & Fees

5,900.00

Philippine Nuclear Research Institute (radioactive material license)

ERC Registration & Fess

1,500.00

Energy Regulatory Commission (certificate of compliance, authority to operate)

0.015%

DOLE Permits & Fees

4,716.01

Department of Labor & Employment (permit to operate pressurized vessels)

DTI Permits & Fees

0.00

Department of Trade & Industry (registration of business name, with SEC now for corporation)

0.142%

LGU Registration & Fees

44,644.90

Local government units (barangay, municipal, provincial, regional)

0.002%

NTC Registration & Fees

628.80

National Telecommunication Commission (radio station permit)

BOC Registration & Fees

5,000.00

Bureau of Customs (accreditation and registration)

PPA Registration & Fees

1,000.00

Philippine Port Authority (permit to operate shore line facilities)

ATO Registration & Fees

13,050.00

Air Transportation Office (height clearance permit for smoke stack)

PDEA Registration & Fees

3,000.00

Philippine Drug Enforcement Agency (essential chemicals commodity permit)

BOI Registration & Fees

4,500.00

Board of Investment (certificate of registration)

DOE Permits & Fees

800.00

Department of Energy (authority to import, certificate of registration)

Local Business Taxes (1/2 of 1% of GR)

0.00%

of gross revenue

National Franchise Taxes (1/2 of 1% of GR)

0.00%

of gross revenue

Total Taxes, Insurances, Benefits & Regulatory Costs

25)

Cost of debt (loan interest)

5.00%

Reference interest rate (Libor or other)

12

loan term

1.00%

Spread

3.00

grace period (construction period)

6.00%

Interest rate of debt

1

loan amortization method (1 = constant principal repayment, 0 = declining balance method)

26)

Capital Structure (equity & debt)

15.00%

% to be financed by capital

30.00%

Equity IRR

0.00%

% to be financed by non refundable subsidy

0.00%

Subsidy

6.00%

% to be financed by debt

70.00%

Debt Interest

Initial amount of capital

8.70%

WACC

27)

Debt Service Reserve Fund

6

months of debt service

4.00%

DSRF Income -interest on Foreign Currency Deposit

7.50%

Withholding Tax on Foreign Currency Deposit

0.30%

DSRF Expense – withholding tax

28)

Equity Structure (shareholder contribution)

planned

Annual dividend payable

actual

60.00%

Investor 1

89.12%

20.00%

Investor 2

0.26%

20.00%

Investor 3

10.62%

29)

Your done.  Now converge the model by pressing ctrl + d

30)

Press ctrl + g to optimize CCGT engine and plant location

31)

Press ctrl + r to update Summary Table

32)

Press ctrl + q to update Sensitivity Table

33)

Vary electricity tariff and see impact on NPV, IRR and payback.

Go to Main worksheet

(impact of electricity tariff)

Update cell E5 (electricity tariff, $/kWh)

View results for NPV, IRR and payback (cells F6..H9)

Press ctrl + r to preserve Summary Table

34)

Determine capital cost given electricity tariff, fuel cost and O&M cost to meet IRR.

Go to Main worksheet

(impact of capital cost) – maximum capital cost to meet minimum IRR

Update cell E5 (electricity tariff, $/kWh)

Go to Sensitivity worksheet

Use goal seek to determine capital cost to meet IRR:

Set cell C16 (NPV) to zero by varying cell B9 (sensitivity factor for capital cost)

Press ctrl + r to preserve Summary Table

35)

Determine main fuel cost (pipeline natgas) given electricity tariff, capital cost and O&M cost to meet IRR. Go to Main worksheet

(impact of main fuel cost) – maximum fuel cost to meet minimum IRR

Update cell E5 (electricity tariff, $/kWh)

Go to Sensitivity worksheet

Use goal seek to determine capital cost to meet IRR:

Set cell C16 (NPV) to zero by varying cell B8 (sensitivity factor for main fuel cost)

Press ctrl + r to preserve Summary Table

36)

Determine rated capacity given electricity tariff, capital cost and O&M cost to meet IRR.

Go to Main worksheet

(impact of rated capacity) – minimum rated capacity to meet minimum IRR

Update cell E5 (electricity tariff, $/kWh)

Go to Sensitivity worksheet

Use goal seek to determine capital cost to meet IRR:

Set cell C16 (NPV) to zero by varying cell B10 (sensitivity factor for rated capacity)

Press ctrl + r to preserve Summary Table

Data inputs for simple cycle GT.doc (copyright 2009 by Marcial T. Ocampo)

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