Hydro Project Finance Model Template (Financials Tab) – free demo

April 17th, 2016 No Comments   Posted in hydro power

Hydro Project Finance Model Template (Financials Tab) – free demo

This is the latest project finance model template (financials tab or worksheet) that your energy technology selection expert has developed for hydro electric power. Familiarize with the template and if interested, get the full unlocked version for your immediate use. I can also provide data input service or customize further the model.

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Solar Photo Voltaic (PV) Project Finance Model Template (Financials Tab) – free demo

April 17th, 2016 No Comments   Posted in solar PV power

Solar Photo Voltaic (PV) Project Finance Model Template (Financials Tab) – free demo

This is the latest project finance model template (financials tab or worksheet) that your energy technology selection expert has developed solar PV energy. Familiarize with the template and if interested, get the full unlocked version for your immediate use. I can also provide data input service or customize further the model.

Solar Photo Voltaic (PV) farms are the present darling in the RE industry. It is the fastest RE technology that can be built in the shortest possible time, and with declining cost of producing and maintaining solar PV panels, a large number of project developers have ventured into solar.

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Wind Energy Project Finance Model Template (Financials Tab) – free demo

April 17th, 2016 No Comments   Posted in wind energy and power

Wind Energy Project Finance Model Template (Financials Tab) – free demo

This is the latest project finance model template (financials tab or worksheet) that your energy technology selection expert has developed for on-shore and off-shore wind energy farm (non-thermal renewable energy). Familiarize with the template and if interested, get the full unlocked version for your immediate use. I can also provide data input service or customize further the model.

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Biomass Energy Project Finance Model Template (Financials Tab) – free demo

April 15th, 2016 No Comments   Posted in project finance modeling

Biomass Energy Project Finance Model Template (Financials Tab) – free demo

This is the latest project finance model template (financials tab or worksheet) that your energy technology selection expert has developed for biomass energy (cogeneration, direct combustion, gasification, IGCC, WTE) and all other fossil and thermal power plants (burns fossil fuel). Familiarize with the template and if interested, get the full unlocked version for your immediate use. I can also provide data input service or customize further the model.

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Financial Ratios in Project Finance Model Ver. 3.0

April 6th, 2016 No Comments   Posted in financial ratios

Financial Ratios in Project Finance Model Ver. 3.0

Financial ratios are mathematical comparisons of financial statement (P&L or Income & Expense, Cash Flow, and Balance Sheet Statements) accounts or categories.

These relationships between income, expense, cash flow and balance sheet accounts help investors, creditors, and internal company management understand how well a business is performing and areas of needing improvement.

Financial ratios are the most common tools used in analyzing a business’ financial standing. Ratios are easy to understand and simple to compute.

They can also be used to compare different companies in different industries. Since a ratio is simply a mathematically comparison based on proportions, big and small companies can be use ratios to compare their financial information. More »

Monte Carlo Simulation (MCS) in Supply & Demand Forecasting and Financial & Process Modeling

April 6th, 2016 No Comments   Posted in Monte Carlo Simulation

Monte Carlo Simulation (MCS) in Supply & Demand Forecasting and Financial & Process Modeling

The conventional or usual approach to forecasting supply & demand of power, energy and goods and services is to use deterministic modeling technique which uses fixed or static data – quantity, price and growth rate.

The same is true with financial & process modeling – fixed or static data is used in estimating plant output (production rate, output, power to GDP elasticity ratio), revenues (growth rate, price escalation), capital and operating costs, financing costs (equity returns, debt interest, commitment fees, front-end fees) and capital structure (% equity, % debt).

However, at best, static data used in deterministic models, provides only static results for equity returns (NPV, IRR, PAYBACK), project returns (NPV, IRR, PAYBACK), net present value of income after tax, discounting rate pre-tax WACC, and the unit tariff (selling price, electricity price, energy price).

Thus, static inputs and outputs from deterministic models provide very little insight into the risk profile of a given project being analyzed for possible investment decisions – go or no go. More »


Project Finance Model Template for a Biomass Thermal Power Plant – the Financial Worksheet

April 5th, 2016 No Comments   Posted in Air Safety, power generation

Project Finance Model Template for a Biomass Thermal Power Plant – the Financial Worksheet

Your energy technology selection and project finance modeling expert has just developed a powerful and understandable template for the construction of a project finance model based on an existing ERC (Energy Regulatory Commission) project finance model for renewable energy power projects (e.g. biomass thermal, solar PV, wind, mini-hydro, ocean thermal energy conversion), which was also modified for non-RE power generation technologies such as coal thermal, oil genset, oil thermal, gas thermal, gas combined cycle gas turbine or CCGT, open cycle gas  turbine or OCGT, large hydro, petcoke thermal, combined heat and power (CHP) diesel engine genset (diesel, bunker), gasoline engine genset and OCGT (propane, natural gas), and nuclear power. More »

Wind Energy Financial Model with Stochastic (Probabilistic) Wind Turbine Simulator for Annual Power Output and Capacity Factor

March 29th, 2016 No Comments   Posted in wind energy and power

Wind Energy Financial Model with Stochastic (Probabilistic) Wind Turbine Simulator for Annual Power Output and Capacity Factor

Wind Turbine Generator (WTG) is the current darling of the renewable energy power generation industry.

It is clean, generally available, and cost-effective. It’s power output, however, is very variable, ever changing by the hour with time.

Now with the instantaneous wind speed as a function of the average speed +/- the positive and negative deviation multiplied by a random fraction, the probable wind speed and thus the power output can be simulated, and when aggregated in 24 x 365 hours in a year, the annual energy output and annual capacity factor is determined.

And using statistical analysis, the expected value (mean), standard error, median, standard deviation, variance, skewness and Kurtosis are calculated for both the annual energy output and annual capacity factor. More »

Integrated Wind Prospecting, Wind Resource Assessment, Annual Power Generation and Capacity Factor, and Wind Project Finance Model with Monte Carlo Simulation

March 29th, 2016 No Comments   Posted in wind energy and power

Integrated Wind Prospecting, Wind Resource Assessment, Annual Power Generation and Capacity Factor, and Wind Project Finance Model with Monte Carlo Simulation

Yes, your energy technology expert has done it again.

Version 3 has been released that integrates all the steps needed in fully developing your wind energy project.

It combines the data entry of the wind velocity profile of the prospective wind farm site (from wind mast anemometer monitoring or from 3-TIER, NREL wind profile database), interpolation of daily and hourly wind speed (up to 15-minute pulse if needed by the TRANSCO / GRID operator), look-up tables for the various wind turbine generator manufacturers, calculation of annual power generation and capacity factor, overnight capital cost of wind turbine and its fixed and variable O&M costs, and project finance modeling (with option for both deterministic and stochastic modeling using Monte Carlo Simulation). More »

Power Generation and Fuel Cycle Technologies – a mini-lecture series with power point presentation and excel project finance models

March 19th, 2016 No Comments   Posted in power generation

Power Generation and Fuel Cycle Technologies – a mini-lecture series with power point presentation and excel project finance models

Your energy technology selection expert is beginning a lecture series on power generation and fuel cycle technologies. This will involve a discussion on the principles of the technology, its history, capital and operating costs, benefits and risks.

Objectives

1) To provide the participants a basic understanding of the following commercially available:

– fuel cycle technologies

– power generation technologies, and

– energy storage technologies

2) To know the basic principles, costs, environmental impact, risks and applicability of each of these technologies, and

3) To present the technology roadmap of each of these technologies to guide us in the near term (next 20 years – up to 2020) and in the long term (next 50 years – up to 2050)

The Past

o Introduction – what-is-electricity

o How is Electricity Generated – generation-of-electricity

o History of Power Generation – history-of-power-generation

o The Complete Electric Power System (base load, intermediate & peaking loads)

The Present

o Commercially Available Fuel Technologies, Power Generation Technologies, and Energy Storage Technologies –

commercially-available-fuel-cycle-technologies

o Primary Energy Sources – primary-energy-sources

o Fuel Properties – fuel-properties

o For the commercially available technologies:

– Basic Principles

– Costs

– Environmental Impact

– Associated Risks

– Applicability

COMMERCIALLY AVAILABLE POWER GENERATION TECHNOLOGIES:

The Future

o The Technology Roadmap: Vision, Portfolio, Approach, Global Drivers of Change, Cost of Not Yet Commercially Available Tech –

technology-roadmap

o The Near Term Fuel, Power Generation, and Energy Storage Technologies (up to 2020) –

near-term-energy-sources

o The Long Fuel, Power Generation, and Energy Storage Technologies (up to 2050) –

long-term-energy-sources

=========

The project finance models of the power generation technology selection expert are based on one model template; hence, the results are unique for the technology’s capital and operating costs, fuel properties and costs, energy conversion efficiency or heat rate, and energy resource availability and reliability.

The financial models are denominated in Philippine Pesos (PhP 47.00 = USD). You can easily convert to your own local currency by changing the base and forward fixed exchange rate (e.g. XXX 100.00 = USD, USD 1.00 = USD) and do a global replacement of all PhP with XXX currency.

SAMPLE PROJECT FINANCE MODELS:

Sample Project Finance Model

Here is a sample project finance model for a biomass thermal power plant that can be customized for your specific need: (Advanced regulator model)

adv-biomass-direct-combustion-model4-demo9

The same model above is also presented in just one worksheet (tab) so you would be able to understand better the structure of a project finance model: (OMT Energy Enterprises model)

omt-biomass-direct-combustion-model4-demo9

A sample non-thermal power plant (no fuel GHV and no fuel cost) can also be downloaded:

adv-mini-hydro-model3-demo5

A sample liquid fossil thermal power plant (with fuel GHV, fuel density and fuel cost) is also available:

adv-diesel-genset-model3-demo5

Email me if you need customization:

energydataexpert@gmail.com

You may order on-line any project finance model of any renewable, conventional, fossil, nuclear, combined heat and power, and energy storage power generation technologies by visiting this website:

www.energydataexpert.com

Or please visit this blog for any power generation technology article:

www.energytechnologyexpert.com

Regards,

The energy technology expert and financial modeling expert

=======

SAMPLE PROJECT FINANCE MODELS:

RENEWABLE ENERGY

adv-biomass-cogeneration-model3-demo5 – process heat (steam) and power

adv-biomass-direct-combustion-model3-demo5 – bagasse, rice husk or wood waste fired boiler steam turbine generator

adv-biomass-gasification-model3-demo5 – gasification (thermal conversion in high temperature without oxygen or air, pyrolysis)

adv-biomass-igcc-model3-demo5 – integrated gasification combined cycle (IGCC) technology

adv-biomass-wte-model3-demo5 – waste-to-energy (WTE) technology for municipal solid waste (MSW) disposal and treatment

adv-biomass-wte-model3-pyrolysis-demo5 – waste-to-energy (WTE) pyrolysis technology

adv-mini-hydro-model3-demo5 – run-of-river (mini-hydro) power plant

adv-concentrating-solar-power-csp-model3-demo5 – concentrating solar power (CSP) 400 MW

adv-solar-pv-1-mw-model3-demo5 – solar PV technology 1 MW Chinese

adv-solar-pv-25-mw-model3-demo5 – solar PV technology 25 MW European and Non-Chinese (Korean, Japanese, US)

adv-wind-onshore-model3-demo5 – includes 81 wind turbine power curves from onshore WTG manufacturers

adv-wind-offshore-model3-demo5 – includes 81 wind turbine power curves from  offshore WTG manufacturers

adv-ocean-thermal-model3_10-mw-demo5 – ocean thermal energy conversion (OTEC) technology 10 MW

adv-ocean-thermal-model3_50-mw-demo5 – ocean thermal energy conversion (OTEC) technology 50 MW

CONVENTIONAL, FOSSIL AND NUCLEAR ENERGY

adv-geo-thermal-model3-demo5 – geothermal power plant  100 MW

adv-large-hydro-model3-demo5 – large hydro power plant 500 MW

adv-coal-fired-cfb-thermal-model3_50-mw-demo5 – subcritical circulating fluidized bed (CFB) technology 50 MW

adv-coal-fired-cfb-thermal-model3_135-mw-demo5 – subcritical circulating fluidized bed (CFB) technology 135 MW

adv-coal-fired-pc-subcritical-thermal-model3-demo5 – subcritical pulverized coal (PC) technology 400 MW

adv-coal-fired-pc-supercritical-thermal-model3-demo5 – supercritical pulverized coal (PC) technology 500 MW

adv-coal-fired-pc-ultrasupercritical-thermal-model3-demo5 – ultrasupercritical pulverized coal (PC) technology 650 MW

adv-diesel-genset-model3-demo5 – diesel-fueled genset (compression ignition engine) technology 50 MW

adv-fuel-oil-genset-model3-demo5 – fuel oil (bunker oil) fired genset (compression ignition engine) technology 100 MW

adv-fuel-oil-thermal-model3-demo5 – fuel oil (bunker oil) fired oil thermal technology 600 MW

adv-natgas-combined-cycle-model3-demo5 – natural gas combined cycle gas turbine (CCGT) 500 MW

adv-natgas-simple-cycle-model3-demo5 – natural gas simple cycle (open cycle) gas turbine (OCGT) 70 MW

adv-natgas-thermal-model3-demo5 – natural gas thermal 200 MW

adv-petcoke-fired-pc-subcritical-thermal-model3-demo5 – petroleum coke (petcoke) fired subcritical thermal 220 MW

adv-nuclear-phwr-model3-demo5 – nuclear (uranium) pressurized heavy water reactor (PHWR) technology 1330 MW

WASTE HEAT RECOVERY BOILER (DIESEL genset; GASOLINE genset; PROPANE, LPG or NATURAL GAS simple cycle)

adv-coal-fired-cfb-thermal-model3_50-mw-chp-demo5 – combined heat and power (CHP)  circulating fluidized bed (CFB) technology 50 MW

adv-diesel-genset-and-waste-heat-boiler-model3-demo5 – diesel genset (diesel, gas oil) and waste heat recovery boiler 3 MW

adv-fuel-oil-genset-and-waste-heat-boiler-model3-demo5 – fuel oil (bunker) genset and waste heat recovery boiler 3 MW

adv-gasoline-genset-and-waste-heat-boiler-model3-demo5 – gasoline genset (gasoline, land fill gas) and waste heat recovery boiler 3 MW

adv-propane-simple-cycle-and-waste-heat-boiler-model3-demo5 – simple cycle GT (propane) and waste heat recovery boiler 3 MW (e.g. Capstone)

adv-simple-cycle-and-waste-heat-boiler-model3-demo5 – simple cycle GT (natural gas, land fill gas, LPG) and waste heat recovery boiler 3 MW (e.g. Capstone)

=========

Should you need the actual models (not demo) that could be revised for your own needs (additional revenue streams, additional expense accounts, additional balance sheet accounts, etc.), you may:

Email me:

energydataexpert@gmail.com

Visit me:

www.energydataexpert.com

www.energytechnologyexpert.com

THANK YOU

=======

 

Combined Heat and Power (CHP) Project Finance Model – Compression Ignition (CI) Diesel Engine, Spark Ignition (SI) Gasoline Engine and Open Cycle GT (OCGT) Cogeneration Power Plants

March 18th, 2016 No Comments   Posted in cogeneration

Combined Heat and Power (CHP) Project Finance Model – Compression Ignition (CI) Diesel Engine, Spark Ignition (SI) Gasoline Engine and Open Cycle GT (OCGT) Cogeneration Power Plants

This new model of a diesel reciprocating engine with waste heat recovery boiler is a cogeneration power plant that produces both electricity and heat/steam energy to raise energy utilization efficiency, and with two revenue streams, reduces significantly the cost of power and heat. For comparison, similar cogeneration plants using a gasoline reciprocating engine and open cycle (simple cycle) GT with waste heat recovery boiler is presented. More »

How to reduce Philippine Electricity Cost – the most expensive power in Asia – to improve its competitiveness

March 17th, 2016 No Comments   Posted in cost of power generation

How to reduce Philippine Electricity Cost – the most expensive power in Asia – to improve its competitiveness

On various occasions and public debates, there is a unified concern to lower Philippine electricity cost in order to improve the country’s competitiveness in order to attain inclusive economic growth.

However, reducing power costs, such as putting up more cheaper power plants like coal-fired power plants instead of expensive petroleum-based power plants and intermittent renewable energy power technologies have to be balanced with the need to reduce greenhouse gas (CO2), sulfur (SO2), NOX and particulate emission to mitigate climate change and air pollution. More »

Integrated Energy Planning – the path towards CLEAN ENERGY

March 4th, 2016 No Comments   Posted in Clean Energy

Integrated Energy Planning – the path towards CLEAN ENERGY

Recently, Mr. Bill Gates renewed mankind’s yearning for CLEAN ENERGY as the way forward towards sustainable and inclusive growth for all peoples of mother earth.

But this would require technical effort, economical approach and environmentally sound action plan that could only be developed through a scientific-based “integrated energy planning”. For such planning to gain wide-spread reach, technical, economic, financial and optimization tools must be within reach by energy and development planners, be it at the level of a community such as off-grid remote areas, river-basin based development regions, island groups, countries, and continents with integrated energy and power networks. More »

Reaction to Mr. Bill Gates’ post on CLEAN ENERGY

February 25th, 2016 No Comments   Posted in Clean Energy

Reaction to Mr. Bill Gates’ post on CLEAN ENERGY

Hi Mr. Bill Gates:

Thanks for keeping the focus on CLEAN ENERGY, and how best to achieve an economic and environmental balance for its future use and mankind’s benefit.

This would require, I believe, easy access to a set of tools and processes that will automate and institutionalize the technical and economic analysis of renewable energy (RE) projects and non-RE projects to determine feasibility, provide inputs to both short-term and long-term optimal dispatch and capacity expansion planning, in order to achieve optimum energy and power generation mix, least cost of energy, lower fuel consumption, reduced GHG emission, sulfur emission and global warming impact of the power industry. More »

Economic Model (Project Finance Model) for a CFB Power Plant (coal, biomass)

February 24th, 2016 No Comments   Posted in financial models

Economic Model (Project Finance Model) for a CFB Power Plant (coal, biomass)

I am pleased to announce the availability of a new project finance model for a CFB power plant that can burn both coal and biomass.

The model accepts the following information: More »

Why coal and renewables complement one another

January 25th, 2016 No Comments   Posted in Philippine Energy Mix

Why coal and renewables complement one another

In many literatures on energy and environment, electricity and climate policies, the dominant view is that fossil fuels in general, and coal power in particular, are the “enemies” of sustainable development. This should not be the case. The truth is that coal power plays a complementary and not contradictory role to development. Three sets of data will show why. More »

How to avoid the most common SUA – waiting for green light in a traffic stop

December 28th, 2015 No Comments   Posted in sudden unintended acceleration

How to avoid the most common SUA – waiting for green light in a traffic stop

Wishing you Merry Christmas and Happy New Year.

After reading all the technical papers on SUA, it appears that the most common SUA is during a stop waiting for the traffic light to change from red to green.

The habit of idling in gear (drive) with your foot on the brake to prevent the vehicle from moving forward causes a drop in engine RPM (additional mechanical load for idling in gear), drop in voltage (additional electrical load by brake lights), and further drop in engine power (air-con compressor cuts in).

As the voltage drops due to lower engines power and speed, the idling controller is commanded by the computer box to raise RPM to recharge the battery.

And if the alternator is under-sized, or the battery is unable to store the charge because it is old or faulty, then the computer will keep on demanding a higher RPM, and ultimately results in an SUA, unless the driver immediately shifts to neutral gear or turns off the engine. So the best protection against SUA – once you stop in a traffic light, shift immediately to neutral and avoid stepping on the foot brake by engaging the hand brake.

Better, turn off air-con compressor and just engage fan only to avoid additional mechanical and electrical loads that will cause the engine RPM to drop and avoid losing battery charge and need for computer to raise engine RPM leading to an SUA event.

Also, after a night’s driving in heavy traffic, always idle the SUV for 3-5 minutes to normalize engine performance and turn-off engine at idle speed so the computer memorizes this last setting (never turn-off while revving up).

The following morning, always start in park (P) and idle for 3-5 minutes to observe engine performance, with the engine stabilized at low idle (not high idle when you turn on engine for the first time), before you drive off in reverse or drive.

Have an SUA-free holiday to all.

MITSUBISHI MONTERO SPORTS – The SUV with SUA: Causes and How to Avoid It

December 24th, 2015 No Comments   Posted in MITSUBISHI MONTERO

MITSUBISHI MONTERO SPORTS – The SUV with SUA: Causes and How to Avoid It

It has been reported in media: printed, TV and social media – that over 90+ cases of sudden un-intended acceleration or SUA that have caused death, bodily injury and property damage have been experienced by owners of MITSUBISHI MONTERO SPORTS, a hot-selling SUV in the Philippines, and that the local MITSUBISHI company has denied that there is nothing wrong with their SUV and dismissed the cause simply as driver error.

Your energy technology expert believes otherwise. There is an inherent defect in this electronic throttle controlled SUV: at idling speed, and with heavy engine load (idling in gear with aircon compressor on) and electrical load (stepping on brakes, aircon fan, headlights and accessories on such as on-board TV, radio), the SUV’s alternator could not charge adequately the battery; hence, the computer box issues a command to the electronic throttle to inject more fuel to raise engine speed RPM to correct a transient negative voltage event.

Read on so you may avoid experiencing this runaway bride. More »

How to Design a Mini-Hydro Power Plant

November 13th, 2015 No Comments   Posted in hydro power

How to Design a Mini-Hydro Power Plant

 

Excel programs to help you automate your design, optimize penstock diameter and determine economic viability and prepare feasibility studies

Take advantage of the Christmas Holiday Big Discount Sale.

Order now your top-of-the-line this December your advanced Excel programs for designing a mini-hydro to develop a number of design alternatives and run the project finance models at various exceedance (% of the time a given flow is exceeded) in order to optimize hydro plant capacity and configuration as well as determine the optimal penstock diameters.

Mini-hydro Power Plant Design Toolkit.xlsm

ADV Mini-hydro Power Plant Project Finance Model.xlsm

Sample Feasibility Study for a Mini-Hydro Power Project.pdf

To order, email me at my Gmail account:

energydataexpert@gmail.com

To remit payment, use my PayPal account:

energydataexpert@gmail.com

To download the complete article with the tables, pictures and graphs – please download the file below (click the link below):

How to Design a Mini-Hydro Power Plant – Copy

Here is the article (minus the tables, pictures and graphs):

Since time immemorial, the earth has been blessed with an endless cycle of rain falling from the sky, onto the watershed, flowing as run-off into the rivers, lakes, groundwater, and finally into the oceans where it picks up the Sun’s limitless energy to evaporate again and join the clouds, only to be cooled by the shadow of the earth as cold winds precipitate the saturated vapors that falls again to repeat the cycle. More »

How to calculate power plant emissions – by mass

April 9th, 2015 No Comments   Posted in power plant emissions

How to calculate power plant emissions – by mass

Yes, your technology expert has prepared an easy to understand and to use Excel model for calculating power plant emissions by mass. It costs only USD 126. So please order now.

Meaning, given the fuel mass rate and fuel composition, power output and capacity factor, the model will calculate the mass flow rate of the emissions (not including the excess air components).

If you need to know the flue gas mass rate and volumetric rate, then you have to purchase also my other model – power plant emissions by concentration. You may order now for only USD 200. More »

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