New Simplified Calculation Procedure for Levelized Cost of Energy (LCOE) and Feed-in Tariff

July 28th, 2010 3 Comments   Posted in cost of power generation

New Simplified Calculation Procedure for Levelized Cost of Energy (LCOE) and Feed-in Tariff

As part of the on-going technical preparations for the proposed mini-conference on the Mindanao Power Crisis this coming late August or early September 2010 and the main conference on “Energy & Climate Change”, the workshop coordinator, Mr. Marcial T. Ocampo, has prepared the simplified calculation procedure for calculating the levelized cost of energy (LCOE) and levelized selling price (tariff) for conventional and renewable energy resources.

The result of the simplified formulas using the US NREL formula for generation cost and the RP MTO formula for selling price were compared with the results from a full-blown project finance model and the variance between the two methods were minimal in most of the power generation technologies analyzed.

The input data came from the IEPR research summary of 2007 and from internationally published data on power generation technology by noted experts such as Paul Breeze and yours truly, Marcial Ocampo. More »

Special Promo (70% discount) for Project Finance Models Extended for the Whole February 2010

February 5th, 2010 1 Comment   Posted in financial models

Special Promo (70% discount) for Project Finance Models Extended for the Whole February 2010

The author of this blog is indeed very happy for the response and interest on the project finance models that has been offered for sale in the internet thru either PayPal (using the DONATE button), or thru the DATA page for small-scale and large-scale project finance models.  The discount is further increased from the previous 50% to 70% to keep the momentum going for this marvelous special promo.

Thus for February 2010, a 70% discount on large-scale project finance models will be offered to all our valued clients.  The price of small-scale project finance models, however, remain to enable the author continue his pioneering work. More »

Project Finance Model for Hybrid Power Plant / Multi-fuel System with CDM

January 9th, 2010 Comments Off on Project Finance Model for Hybrid Power Plant / Multi-fuel System with CDM Posted in financial models

Project Finance Model for Hybrid Power Plant / Multi-fuel System with CDM

During implementation of a project feasibility study for a natural gas pipeline that will serve an anchor load 250-500 mw natural gas-fired combined cycle gas turbine (CCGT), it was felt that additional market for the excess Malampaya natural gas (300 mw surplus plus banked gas for sale) needs to be developed to improve the economics of the pipeline.

Doing a market, technical and feasibility study for this end-use conversion economics will thus entail developing a robust project finance model that is versatile enought to handle conversion of existing power generation and steam/process heat technologies (coal fired, bunker fired, diesel fired diesel electric generators, steam and process heat equipment, refrigeration) to natural gas firing.

The author, an energy technology and business development consultant, has prepared an Incremental Economics Conversion Model for comparing a base case (existing coal-fired or oil fired generation, process heat, refrigeration and air conditioning equipment) versus a more energy efficient, less polluting and cheaper to operate natural gas-fired equipment. More »

Project Finance Models for Power Plants with Carbon Credits under CDM (download file)

January 4th, 2010 2 Comments   Posted in financial models

Project Finance Models for Power Plants with Carbon Credits under CDM (download file)

Due to worldwide interest in carbon emission reduction credits thru the clean development mechanishm (CDM) of the Kyoto Protocol to encourage renewable and energy efficiency improvement in power generation to reduce carbon emissions and mitigate global warming, I am issuing another model update for January 2009.  I also made some changes to working capital and all-in project cost estimation and loan amortization calculations.
Also due to numerous inquiries and tremendous interest, the deadline has been extend up to 31 January 2010.  Order now to get 70% discount on any project finance model of your choice.  This 2010 version now includes carbon emission reduction credits under the Clean Development Mechanism (CDM) of the Kyoto Protocol. It provides for one time cost for consultancy services and registration to the CDM Executive Board and annual carbon emission reduction credits net of annual fees for monitoring by local consultants and Executive Board.

More »

How to order your project finance models for power plants – get 50% discount via PayPal

December 18th, 2009 Comments Off on How to order your project finance models for power plants – get 50% discount via PayPal Posted in financial models

How to order your project finance models for power plants – get 50% discount (extended 28 Feb 2015) via PayPal

Due to numerous inquiries and tremendous interest, the deadline has been extend up to 28 Feb 2015.  Order now to get 50% discount on any project finance model of your choice.

This advanced model allows you to perform the following:

1) Determine the impact of electricity tariff (selling price) on NPV, IRR and payback given the capital cost, fuel cost and O&M cost.

2) Determine the maximum main fuel price (natural gas, gas oil) to meet IRR given electricity tariff, capital cost and O&M cost.

3) Determine the maximum capital cost (all-in) to meet IRR given electricity tariff, fuel price and O&M cost.

4) Perform sensitivity analysis (+/- 10% change) on variables such as electricity tariff, rated capacity, plant heat rate (efficiency), fuel cost, capital cost and O&M costs on IRR.

5) The IRR may be defined as DCF-ROI (project cost vs cash flow), DCF-ROE (equity portion of project cost vs cash flow), DCF-FC (equity portion vs free cashflow), and discounted DCF-FC (native currency is depreciating vs foreign currency).  The model provides for analysis with escalation (nominal IRR) and without escalation (real IRR).

6) Optimize type of CCGT engine/manufacturer, plant location and cooling system (once thru sea water, once thru lake water, river cooling tower, deep well cooling tower, radiator cooling) and transmission line system (type of conductor).  The optimal configuration is determined by the combination that provides the cheapest electricity tariff, cheapest fuel or highest IRR. More »

Impact of New Renewable Energy (RE) Law and its IRR on Electricity Price (Feed-In Tariff Calculation Procedure)

December 3rd, 2009 10 Comments   Posted in renewable energy

Impact of New RE Law and its IRR on Electricity Price

(Feed-In Tariff Calculation Procedure)

Energy Technology Conference & Exhibition 2009

By: Marcial T. Ocampo

Date: December 2, 2009

Venue: New World Hotel, Makati

Outline

  • Republic Act No. 9513 (RE Law)
  • DOE Circular No. DC2009-05-0008 (IRR)
  • DOE Circular No. DC2009-07-0011 (Guidelines)
  • Feed-In Tariff System
  • Financial Model – before and after RE Law
  • Mini Hydro –
  • Biomass –
  • Wind –
  • Solar – More »