Updates on conference on “Energy & Climate Change”

August 8th, 2010 No Comments   Posted in energy & climate change

Updates on conference on “Energy & Climate Change”

To all speakers, reactors, contributors, donors:

Nice to communicate with you again.

While awaiting your response to our invitation as speaker, reactor, contributor/donor, the technical team of this conference organizer has been busy preparing the background materials to both the mini-conference on the Mindanao Power Crisis (proposed venue Xavier University, Cagayan de Oro City) and the main-conference on “Energy & Climate Change” (proposed venue – ADB Pasig City, Ateneo Quezon City or AIM Makati City).

To date, we have accomplished the following:

1) Prepared draft program and list of speakers and topics (awaiting response)

2) Awaiting firm proposal from sponsors who would like to support this two conferences and the preparation of the conference proceedings (a draft budget has been prepared and circulated to ADB, PCCC, awaiting ADB/DOE/PCCC response).

3) Made research on all power generation technologies, brief history, process description, efficiency, overnight capital cost, fixed and variable O&M, economic life – IEPR, Paul Breeze, MTO energy data base, Internet Google search

4) Made financial models for calculating levelized generation cost and levelized selling price (tariff) using simplified formulas (US NREL and RP MTO) and full-scale project finance models for each power generation technology

5) Obtained latest Power Development Plan (PDP 2009-2030), Philippine Energy Plan (PEP 2009-2030) and TRANSCO/NGCP Transmission Development Plan 2009-2018

6) Prepared models for calculating GHG carbon emissions (CO2) and levelized selling price for the entire country given the following scenarios:

a) Oil Demand Outlook – reference case, alternative demand scenario

b) Cumulative Installed Capacity & Power Generation Forecast – reference scenario, low carbon scenario 1 (high renewable energy), low carbon scenario 2 (high renewable energy & nuclear)

To date, we are  updating the input data, harmonizing the conversion factors (gross heating value, density, efficiencies, BFOE per kWh, MTOE, etc) so that by giving the oil demand/consumption and the power generation mix (MW and GWh), the model will instantly calculate the resulting average levelized selling price (tariff) for the country and the GHG emission (mt CO2).

The model will also calculate its effectiveness (% reduction in tariff and % reduction in GHG emission) so as to guide the policy maker in refining his development scenario which he wants to analyze.

The model is therefore very intuitive – it gives immediately the climate change impact of the proposed policy and also gives an estimate in the change in power prices.

Alternatively, if we use Input-Output methods, the impact of the policy change that results in a power price disturbance will be also be predicted in advance as to its impact on the GDP and the price of other goods and services.

I hope that with this update, the respective speakers/reactors will confirm their attendance and preferred topics, as well as communicate with me and the technical team for any other data and information that they may need in preparing well for this historic event.

Regards to all,

MARCIAL T. OCAMPO

 

President, Winning Edge Lending Corporation

Energy Technology Selection & Business Development Consultant

Email: mars_ocampo@yahoo.com

energydataexpert@gmail.com

Web:   www.energytechnologyexpert.com

http://ph.linkedin.com/in/ocampomarcial

Special Promo (70% discount) for Project Finance Models Extended for the Whole February 2010

February 5th, 2010 1 Comment   Posted in financial models

Special Promo (70% discount) for Project Finance Models Extended for the Whole February 2010

The author of this blog is indeed very happy for the response and interest on the project finance models that has been offered for sale in the internet thru either PayPal (using the DONATE button), or thru the DATA page for small-scale and large-scale project finance models.  The discount is further increased from the previous 50% to 70% to keep the momentum going for this marvelous special promo.

Thus for February 2010, a 70% discount on large-scale project finance models will be offered to all our valued clients.  The price of small-scale project finance models, however, remain to enable the author continue his pioneering work. More »

How to Optimize Power Plant Design and Configuration (technology, capacity, efficiency, location)

January 11th, 2010 No Comments   Posted in financial models

How to Optimize Power Plant Design and Configuration (technology, capacity, efficiency, location) – see download file for input data

Optimizing the overall project concept during the plant feasibility study and detailed engineering study is a common problem faced by project developers and EPC contractors.  The question commonly asked by project owners from project developers and designers are:

(1) What engine/manufacturer should be considered (e.g. Siemens, Westinghouse, General Electric, Mitsubishi, Alstom, etc)? More »

Project Finance Model for Hybrid Power Plant / Multi-fuel System with CDM

January 9th, 2010 Comments Off Posted in financial models

Project Finance Model for Hybrid Power Plant / Multi-fuel System with CDM

During implementation of a project feasibility study for a natural gas pipeline that will serve an anchor load 250-500 mw natural gas-fired combined cycle gas turbine (CCGT), it was felt that additional market for the excess Malampaya natural gas (300 mw surplus plus banked gas for sale) needs to be developed to improve the economics of the pipeline.

Doing a market, technical and feasibility study for this end-use conversion economics will thus entail developing a robust project finance model that is versatile enought to handle conversion of existing power generation and steam/process heat technologies (coal fired, bunker fired, diesel fired diesel electric generators, steam and process heat equipment, refrigeration) to natural gas firing.

The author, an energy technology and business development consultant, has prepared an Incremental Economics Conversion Model for comparing a base case (existing coal-fired or oil fired generation, process heat, refrigeration and air conditioning equipment) versus a more energy efficient, less polluting and cheaper to operate natural gas-fired equipment. More »

Project Finance Models for Power Plants with Carbon Credits under CDM (download file)

January 4th, 2010 No Comments   Posted in financial models

Project Finance Models for Power Plants with Carbon Credits under CDM (download file)

Due to worldwide interest in carbon emission reduction credits thru the clean development mechanishm (CDM) of the Kyoto Protocol to encourage renewable and energy efficiency improvement in power generation to reduce carbon emissions and mitigate global warming, I am issuing another model update for January 2009.  I also made some changes to working capital and all-in project cost estimation and loan amortization calculations.
Also due to numerous inquiries and tremendous interest, the deadline has been extend up to 31 January 2010.  Order now to get 70% discount on any project finance model of your choice.  This 2010 version now includes carbon emission reduction credits under the Clean Development Mechanism (CDM) of the Kyoto Protocol. It provides for one time cost for consultancy services and registration to the CDM Executive Board and annual carbon emission reduction credits net of annual fees for monitoring by local consultants and Executive Board.

More »