Updates on conference on “Energy & Climate Change”

August 8th, 2010 No Comments   Posted in energy & climate change

Updates on conference on “Energy & Climate Change”

To all speakers, reactors, contributors, donors:

Nice to communicate with you again.

While awaiting your response to our invitation as speaker, reactor, contributor/donor, the technical team of this conference organizer has been busy preparing the background materials to both the mini-conference on the Mindanao Power Crisis (proposed venue Xavier University, Cagayan de Oro City) and the main-conference on “Energy & Climate Change” (proposed venue – ADB Pasig City, Ateneo Quezon City or AIM Makati City).

To date, we have accomplished the following:

1) Prepared draft program and list of speakers and topics (awaiting response)

2) Awaiting firm proposal from sponsors who would like to support this two conferences and the preparation of the conference proceedings (a draft budget has been prepared and circulated to ADB, PCCC, awaiting ADB/DOE/PCCC response).

3) Made research on all power generation technologies, brief history, process description, efficiency, overnight capital cost, fixed and variable O&M, economic life – IEPR, Paul Breeze, MTO energy data base, Internet Google search

4) Made financial models for calculating levelized generation cost and levelized selling price (tariff) using simplified formulas (US NREL and RP MTO) and full-scale project finance models for each power generation technology

5) Obtained latest Power Development Plan (PDP 2009-2030), Philippine Energy Plan (PEP 2009-2030) and TRANSCO/NGCP Transmission Development Plan 2009-2018

6) Prepared models for calculating GHG carbon emissions (CO2) and levelized selling price for the entire country given the following scenarios:

a) Oil Demand Outlook – reference case, alternative demand scenario

b) Cumulative Installed Capacity & Power Generation Forecast – reference scenario, low carbon scenario 1 (high renewable energy), low carbon scenario 2 (high renewable energy & nuclear)

To date, we are  updating the input data, harmonizing the conversion factors (gross heating value, density, efficiencies, BFOE per kWh, MTOE, etc) so that by giving the oil demand/consumption and the power generation mix (MW and GWh), the model will instantly calculate the resulting average levelized selling price (tariff) for the country and the GHG emission (mt CO2).

The model will also calculate its effectiveness (% reduction in tariff and % reduction in GHG emission) so as to guide the policy maker in refining his development scenario which he wants to analyze.

The model is therefore very intuitive – it gives immediately the climate change impact of the proposed policy and also gives an estimate in the change in power prices.

Alternatively, if we use Input-Output methods, the impact of the policy change that results in a power price disturbance will be also be predicted in advance as to its impact on the GDP and the price of other goods and services.

I hope that with this update, the respective speakers/reactors will confirm their attendance and preferred topics, as well as communicate with me and the technical team for any other data and information that they may need in preparing well for this historic event.

Regards to all,

MARCIAL T. OCAMPO

 

President, Winning Edge Lending Corporation

Energy Technology Selection & Business Development Consultant

Email: mars_ocampo@yahoo.com

energydataexpert@gmail.com

Web:   www.energytechnologyexpert.com

http://ph.linkedin.com/in/ocampomarcial

New Simplified Calculation Procedure for Levelized Cost of Energy (LCOE) and Feed-in Tariff

July 28th, 2010 No Comments   Posted in cost of power generation

New Simplified Calculation Procedure for Levelized Cost of Energy (LCOE) and Feed-in Tariff

As part of the on-going technical preparations for the proposed mini-conference on the Mindanao Power Crisis this coming late August or early September 2010 and the main conference on “Energy & Climate Change”, the workshop coordinator, Mr. Marcial T. Ocampo, has prepared the simplified calculation procedure for calculating the levelized cost of energy (LCOE) and levelized selling price (tariff) for conventional and renewable energy resources.

The result of the simplified formulas using the US NREL formula for generation cost and the RP MTO formula for selling price were compared with the results from a full-blown project finance model and the variance between the two methods were minimal in most of the power generation technologies analyzed.

The input data came from the IEPR research summary of 2007 and from internationally published data on power generation technology by noted experts such as Paul Breeze and yours truly, Marcial Ocampo. More »

Municipal Solid Waste (MSW) to Power Project

July 3rd, 2010 2 Comments   Posted in feed-in tariff

Municipal Solid Waste (MSW) to Power Project

This is a power point presentation with a project finance model for calculating feed-in tariff (FiT).

The FiT is a renewable energy charge paid to renewable energy (RE) developers for providing power to the grid.  It is paid for by the Transco operator who collects a renewable energy charge (REC) from all consumers of electricity in the country.  By being spread out to all consumers, the burden of a higher FiT compared to the average grid rate is shared equally by all citizens and consumers alike since they will benefit from the positive impact of RE on global warming and climate change issues.

More »

Feed-in Tariff Calculator – from simple RP MTO formula to project finance model

June 26th, 2010 No Comments   Posted in feed-in tariff

Feed-in Tariff Calculator – from simple RP MTO formula to project finance model

Yes, you are right.  A feed-in tariff calculator using the modified US NREL formula for levelized cost of energy (LCOE) or levelized cost of electrity is available from you Energy Technology Expert – Marcial Ocampo.   (Please refer to my previous articles on simplified formula for LCOE.)

In addition, we prepared a more sophisticated project finance model to calculate the feed-in tariff using the discounted cash flow internal rate of return method (DCF IRR). More »

Special Promo (70% discount) for Project Finance Models Extended for the Whole February 2010

February 5th, 2010 1 Comment   Posted in financial models

Special Promo (70% discount) for Project Finance Models Extended for the Whole February 2010

The author of this blog is indeed very happy for the response and interest on the project finance models that has been offered for sale in the internet thru either PayPal (using the DONATE button), or thru the DATA page for small-scale and large-scale project finance models.  The discount is further increased from the previous 50% to 70% to keep the momentum going for this marvelous special promo.

Thus for February 2010, a 70% discount on large-scale project finance models will be offered to all our valued clients.  The price of small-scale project finance models, however, remain to enable the author continue his pioneering work. More »